Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
19.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Manchester City
Brentford
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester City
49 matches
Brentford
38 matches
| Manchester City | Statistic | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Wins | 16 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 9 | Losses | 12 |
| 106 | Goals For | 57 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 2.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 44 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 31 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 5.84 | Shots On Goal | 4.16 |
| 15.9 | Total Shots | 11.29 |
| 6.33 | Corners | 5 |
| 60.8% | Ball Possession | 48.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Manchester City arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 71 points compared to Brentford in 7 on 51, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Brentford. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Manchester City come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 71 points after 34 matches. The return of 21 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 69:32, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through E. Haaland (25 goals), P. Foden (7 goals), Nico O'Reilly (5 goals), with creative support from R. Cherki (11 assists), E. Haaland (7 assists), J. Doku (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Brentford are currently 7 in the standings with 51 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 52:46 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Thiago (22 goals), K. Schade (7 goals), D. Ouattara (5 goals), with creative support from M. Damsgaard (4 assists), Vitaly Janelt (4 assists), K. Schade (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 8 times, Brentford won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:7 from Manchester City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Manchester City
10
2
7
1
8
1
Lineups
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Everton
Manchester City
Southampton
Manchester City
Burnley
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
Liverpool
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Manchester City
West Ham
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Leeds
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City
Salford City
Manchester City
Fulham
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brentford
Liverpool
Brentford
Crystal Palace
Brentford
West Ham
Brentford
Manchester United
Brentford
Fulham
Brentford
Everton
Brentford
Leeds
Brentford
Wolves
Brentford
West Ham
Brentford
Bournemouth
Brentford
Burnley
Brentford
Brighton
Brentford
Macclesfield
Brentford
Arsenal
Brentford
Newcastle
Brentford
Aston Villa
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
Chelsea
Brentford
Sheffield Wednesday
Brentford
Sunderland
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Southampton
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester City
Liverpool
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City
Salford City
Manchester City
Fulham
Manchester City
Galatasaray
Manchester City
Wolves
Manchester City
Exeter City
Manchester City
Brighton
Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
West Ham
Manchester City
Sunderland
Manchester City
Leeds
Manchester City
Bayer Leverkusen
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brentford
Liverpool
Brentford
Manchester United
Brentford
Leeds
Brentford
West Ham
Brentford
Bournemouth
Brentford
Burnley
Brentford
Macclesfield
Brentford
Newcastle
Brentford
Aston Villa
Brentford
Chelsea
Brentford
Sheffield Wednesday
Brentford
Everton
Brentford
Wolves
Brentford
Tottenham
Brentford
Arsenal
Brentford
Brighton
Brentford
Crystal Palace
Brentford
West Ham
Brentford
Fulham
Brentford
Sunderland
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Manchester City
Home
|
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Brentford
Away
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|