COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.9%
-
BTTS No
70.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Popayan Win 30.3%
Draw 16.8%
Union Magdalena Win 52.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Popayan0.92
Union Magdalena1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Popayan Popayan
WWDLW
16 GF / 20 GA
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
WLDWL
36 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
9
BTTS Yes
13
5
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Popayan Popayan 17 matches
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 24 matches
Popayan Statistic Union Magdalena
3 Wins 12
8 Draws 7
6 Losses 5
16 Goals For 36
20 Goals Against 21
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
9 BTTS Yes 13
12 Over 1.5 19
5 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Union Magdalena's more proactive style and Popayan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Union Magdalena carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 32 points while Popayan sit 12 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union Magdalena having the stronger overall control. Union Magdalena look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Union Magdalena.

Popayan Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Popayan have collected 13 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 15:20 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Union Magdalena approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 32 points after 15 outings. They have recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a 27:15 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Popayan won 3 times, Union Magdalena won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:22 from Popayan's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
H2H summary: Popayan wins 3, draws 2, Union Magdalena wins 9
Last matches: Popayan
01.08.26
Pri
Popayan
Tigres FC
0
0
D
24.07.26
Pri
Popayan
Quindio
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Popayan
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
07.04.26
Pri
Popayan
Ind. Yumbo
0
0
D
31.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Depor FC
1
1
D
27.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Patriotas
3
3
D
14.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Leones FC
2
1
W
10.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Santander
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Envigado
0
1
L
26.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Barranquilla
0
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Bogota FC
1
2
L
18.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Orsomarso
2
2
D
09.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Union Magdalena
2
0
W
05.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Soacha
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Tigres FC
0
2
L
26.01.26
Pri
Popayan
Quindio
0
1
L
24.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
20.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Soacha
0
1
L
15.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Patriotas
0
1
L
Last matches: Union Magdalena
31.07.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Orsomarso
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bogota FC
0
1
L
21.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bogota FC
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
2
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bogota FC
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Depor FC
3
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Internacional Palmira
0
2
L
09.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Envigado
4
2
W
30.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Ind. Yumbo
2
0
W
26.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Santander
2
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Patriotas
2
1
W
11.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Soacha
1
1
D
04.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Quindio
2
1
W
24.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Tigres FC
3
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Leones FC
3
1
W
H2H: Popayan vs Union Magdalena
09.02.26
H2H
Union Magdalena
Popayan
0
2
W
22.10.24
H2H
Union Magdalena
Popayan
1
0
L
12.05.24
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
22.02.23
H2H
Union Magdalena
Popayan
3
0
L
16.02.23
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
1
L
21.08.21
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
2
L
25.03.21
H2H
Union Magdalena
Popayan
1
1
D
18.03.21
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
1
0
W
11.02.21
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
1
L
15.08.20
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
01.03.20
H2H
Union Magdalena
Popayan
2
0
L
30.09.18
H2H
Union Magdalena
Popayan
5
2
L
06.05.18
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
3
L
29.10.17
H2H
Union Magdalena
Popayan
3
1
L
14.05.17
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
1
0
W
Last matches: Popayan
01.08.26
Pri
Popayan
Tigres FC
0
0
D
07.04.26
Pri
Popayan
Ind. Yumbo
0
0
D
27.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Leones FC
2
1
W
26.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Barranquilla
0
2
L
18.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Orsomarso
2
2
D
05.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Soacha
1
1
D
26.01.26
Pri
Popayan
Quindio
0
1
L
24.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
12.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Patriotas
1
0
W
07.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Soacha
0
1
L
20.10.25
Pri
Popayan
Barranquilla
1
0
W
03.10.25
Pri
Popayan
Bogota FC
2
1
W
22.09.25
Pri
Popayan
Tigres FC
0
1
L
08.09.25
Pri
Popayan
Depor FC
1
2
L
22.08.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Soacha
0
1
L
08.08.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Cartagena
2
2
D
25.07.25
Pri
Popayan
Internacional Palmira
2
0
W
14.07.25
Pri
Popayan
Leones FC
1
1
D
18.05.25
Pri
Popayan
Jaguares
0
1
L
H2H at home: Popayan
12.05.24
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
16.02.23
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
1
L
21.08.21
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
2
L
18.03.21
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
1
0
W
11.02.21
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
1
L
15.08.20
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
06.05.18
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
3
L
14.05.17
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
1
0
W
Last matches: Union Magdalena
25.07.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bogota FC
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bogota FC
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Depor FC
3
1
W
30.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Ind. Yumbo
2
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
04.03.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Barranquilla
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Quindio
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Leones FC
3
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Union Magdalena
Orsomarso
1
0
W
11.01.26
Fri
Union Magdalena
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
America de Cali
0
3
L
26.10.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Once Caldas
0
1
L
12.10.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Bucaramanga
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
14.09.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Santa Fe
0
2
L
30.08.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Chico
0
1
L
21.08.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Millonarios
2
1
W
14.08.25
Pri
Union Magdalena
Deportivo Cali
1
3
L
H2H away: Union Magdalena
12.05.24
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
16.02.23
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
1
W
21.08.21
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
2
W
18.03.21
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
1
0
L
11.02.21
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
1
W
15.08.20
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
06.05.18
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
0
3
W
14.05.17
H2H
Popayan
Union Magdalena
1
0
L