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--.--.---- --:--
Aston Villa
FT
2 - 1
Burnley
Villa Park
Referee: A. Kitchen
Aston Villa
Match Timeline
Burnley
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Lyle Foster
Burnley
⚽
25'
D. Malen · Assist: B. Kamara
Aston Villa
🟨
53'
Lucas Digne
Aston Villa
🔄
59'
J. Anthony ↔ A. Broja
Burnley
🔄
59'
L. Tchaouna ↔ J. Bruun Larsen
Burnley
⚽
63'
D. Malen · Assist: M. Rogers
Aston Villa
🔄
67'
O. Watkins ↔ E. Buendia
Aston Villa
🔄
67'
J. McGinn ↔ E. Guessand
Aston Villa
🔄
69'
L. Foster ↔ L. Ugochukwu
Burnley
⚽
78'
L. Ugochukwu · Assist: Q. Hartman
Burnley
🔄
82'
J. Laurent ↔ Z. Flemming
Burnley
🔄
84'
D. Malen ↔ R. Barkley
Aston Villa
🔄
84'
M. Cash ↔ V. Lindelof
Aston Villa
🟨
90+3'
Emiliano Martínez
Aston Villa
🟨
90+1'
Emiliano Buendía
Aston Villa
🔄
90'
L. Bogarde ↔ A. Onana
Aston Villa
🔄
90+10'
↔ I. Maatsen
Aston Villa
🔄
90+10'
M. Esteve ↔ J. Worrall
Burnley

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Burnley Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.4
Burnley0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Burnley Burnley
WLDWL
6 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
2.88
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 matches
Burnley Burnley 6 matches
Aston Villa Statistic Burnley
3 Wins 1
3 Draws 1
2 Losses 4
7 Goals For 6
6 Goals Against 13
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
2 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 2
2.88 Shots On Goal 2.67
9.88 Total Shots 8.5
5.13 Corners 2.83
56.4% Ball Possession 33.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 5 times, Burnley won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Aston Villa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-2-2 / Burnley 5-4-1
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 5, draws 5, Burnley wins 2
Stats
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Burnley Burnley
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 5
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 3
3 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
496 Total passes 409
434 Passes accurate 331
1.16 expected_goals 0.40
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Aston Villa
Formation
Burnley
E. Martinez
E. Martinez
M. Cash
↓
M. Cash
E. Konsa
E. Konsa
P. Torres
P. Torres
L. Digne
L. Digne
L. Bogarde
↓
L. Bogarde
B. Kamara
🎯
B. Kamara
J. McGinn
↓
J. McGinn
M. Rogers
🎯
M. Rogers
D. Malen
⚽ 2 ↓
D. Malen
O. Watkins
↓
O. Watkins
M. Dubravka
M. Dubravka
K. Walker
K. Walker
J. Laurent
↓
J. Laurent
A. Tuanzebe
A. Tuanzebe
M. Esteve
↓
M. Esteve
Q. Hartman
🎯
Q. Hartman
L. Tchaouna
↓
L. Tchaouna
J. Cullen
J. Cullen
Florentino
Florentino
J. Anthony
↓
J. Anthony
L. Foster
↓
L. Foster
Aston Villa 4-2-2-2
Starting XI
23
E. Martinez
🟨 90+3'
G
2
M. Cash
↓ 84'
D
4
E. Konsa
D
14
P. Torres
D
12
L. Digne
🟨 53'
D
26
L. Bogarde
↓ 90'
M
44
B. Kamara
🎯 25'
M
7
J. McGinn
↓ 67'
M
27
M. Rogers
🎯 63'
M
17
D. Malen
⚽ 25' ⚽ 63' ↓ 84'
F
11
O. Watkins
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
40
M. Bizot
G
6
R. Barkley
↑ 84'
M
3
V. Lindelof
↑ 84'
D
24
A. Onana
↑ 90'
M
22
I. Maatsen
↑ 90+10'
D
9
H. Elliott
M
10
E. Buendia
↑ 67' 🟨 90+1'
M
29
E. Guessand
↑ 67'
F
20
J. Jimoh-Aloba
M
Burnley 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
M. Dubravka
G
2
K. Walker
D
29
J. Laurent
↓ 82'
D
6
A. Tuanzebe
D
5
M. Esteve
↓ 90+10'
D
3
Q. Hartman
🎯 78'
D
17
L. Tchaouna
↓ 59'
M
24
J. Cullen
M
16
Florentino
M
11
J. Anthony
↓ 59'
M
9
L. Foster
↓ 69' 🟨 17'
F
Substitutes
13
M. Weiss
G
19
Z. Flemming
↑ 82'
M
4
J. Worrall
↑ 90+10'
D
27
A. Broja
↑ 59'
F
28
H. Mejbri
M
8
L. Ugochukwu
⚽ 78' ↑ 69'
M
7
J. Bruun Larsen
↑ 59'
F
10
M. Edwards
F
12
B. Humphreys
D
Last matches: Aston Villa
15.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
2
L
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
Last matches: Burnley
16.08.26
Cha
Burnley
West Ham
2
2
D
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
H2H: Aston Villa vs Burnley
10.05.26
H2H
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
05.10.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
1
W
30.12.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
3
2
W
27.08.23
H2H
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
3
W
19.05.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
1
1
D
07.05.22
H2H
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
3
W
27.01.21
H2H
Burnley
Aston Villa
3
2
L
17.12.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
0
0
D
01.01.20
H2H
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
2
W
28.09.19
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
24.05.15
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
0
1
L
29.11.14
H2H
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
1
D
Last matches: Aston Villa
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brentford
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg
3
2
W
18.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Everton
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
1
0
W
H2H at home: Aston Villa
05.10.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
1
W
30.12.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
3
2
W
19.05.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
1
1
D
17.12.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
0
0
D
28.09.19
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
24.05.15
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
0
1
L
Last matches: Burnley
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Sunderland
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Liverpool
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
20.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
1
1
D
06.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Newcastle
1
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
1
3
L
08.11.25
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
2
3
L
26.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
3
2
W
27.09.25
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
1
5
L
H2H away: Burnley
05.10.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
1
L
30.12.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
3
2
L
19.05.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
1
1
D
17.12.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
0
0
D
28.09.19
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
24.05.15
H2H
Aston Villa
Burnley
0
1
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Arsenal
38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2
Manchester City
38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3
Manchester United
38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4
Aston Villa Home
38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5
Liverpool
38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6
Bournemouth
38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7
Sunderland
38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8
Brighton
38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9
Brentford
38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10
Chelsea
38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11
Fulham
38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12
Newcastle
38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13
Everton
38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds
38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15
Crystal Palace
38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16
Nottingham Forest
38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17
Tottenham
38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18
West Ham
38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19
Burnley Away
38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20
Wolves
38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship