Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gnistan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Ilves Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gnistan1.4
Ilves1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gnistan
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Ilves
WLDWL
45 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
11
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
14
3.38
Shots on Goal
2.56
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gnistan
23 matches
Ilves
24 matches
| Gnistan | Statistic | Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 32 | Goals For | 45 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.38 | Shots On Goal | 2.56 |
| 9.81 | Total Shots | 5.78 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 38.9% | Ball Possession | 24.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan won 2 times, Ilves won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Gnistan's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.7 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gnistan 3-4-2-1 / Ilves 4-3-3
H2H summary: Gnistan wins 2, draws 2, Ilves wins 6
Last matches: Gnistan
26.07.26
Vei
Gnistan
Inter Turku
2
1
W
18.07.26
Vei
Gnistan
AC Oulu
2
0
W
11.07.26
Vei
Gnistan
Mariehamn
4
2
W
04.07.26
Vei
Gnistan
Lahti
0
1
L
27.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
VPS
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
FF Jaro
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Lahti
1
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Mariehamn
3
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
SJK
3
2
W
23.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Ilves
0
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
FF Jaro
5
0
W
09.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
VPS
1
1
D
05.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Inter Turku
2
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
Turku PS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
11.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
KuPS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
AC Oulu
1
5
L
28.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
Kooteepee
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
PK-35
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
L
Last matches: Ilves
26.07.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ilves
Stjarnan
0
1
L
20.07.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
3
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
3
1
W
08.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
1
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
3
4
L
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
0
5
L
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
Ilves
VPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
2
D
11.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
H2H: Gnistan vs Ilves
23.05.26
H2H
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
L
24.01.26
H2H
Ilves
Gnistan
1
0
L
25.10.25
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
1
3
L
23.09.25
H2H
Ilves
Gnistan
3
2
L
04.08.25
H2H
Ilves
Gnistan
2
2
D
01.06.25
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
0
2
L
28.05.25
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
3
0
W
28.03.25
H2H
Ilves
Gnistan
4
0
L
01.09.24
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
1
1
D
13.04.24
H2H
Ilves
Gnistan
4
6
W
Last matches: Gnistan
11.07.26
Vei
Gnistan
Mariehamn
4
2
W
27.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
VPS
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
Gnistan
Lahti
1
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
SJK
3
2
W
16.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
FF Jaro
5
0
W
05.05.26
Vei
Gnistan
Inter Turku
2
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
04.04.26
Vei
Gnistan
AC Oulu
1
5
L
21.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
PK-35
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Gnistan
SJK
1
3
L
H2H at home: Gnistan
25.10.25
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
1
3
L
01.06.25
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
0
2
L
28.05.25
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
3
0
W
01.09.24
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
1
1
D
Last matches: Ilves
23.07.26
UEF
Ilves
Stjarnan
0
1
L
20.07.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
3
1
W
08.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
1
2
L
23.06.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
3
4
L
30.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
0
5
L
16.05.26
Vei
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
02.05.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
Ilves
VPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
2
D
11.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
0
5
L
10.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
6
L
H2H away: Ilves
25.10.25
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
1
3
W
01.06.25
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
0
2
W
28.05.25
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
3
0
L
01.09.24
H2H
Gnistan
Ilves
1
1
D
Standings
Veikkausliiga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 28 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 |
Gnistan
Home
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 28 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 5 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 27 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:16 | 4 | 22 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Away
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 22 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 10 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9:36 | -27 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)