Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69%
|
2.44 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
2.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
2.43 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
3.85 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.60 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
13.00 |
Gnistan
Ilves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gnistan
25 matches
Ilves
29 matches
| Gnistan | Statistic | Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 12 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 10 | Losses | 11 |
| 34 | Goals For | 49 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.84 | Shots On Goal | 2.22 |
| 8.26 | Total Shots | 4.52 |
| 2.53 | Corners | 1.78 |
| 32.7% | Ball Possession | 22.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Gnistan's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ilves. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Gnistan are currently 6 in the standings with 29 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 29:24 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Akinyemi (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
From their first 19 matches, Ilves have collected 25 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 31:31 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Maksim Stjopin (2 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan won 2 times, Ilves won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Gnistan's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.7 goals per game.
Lineups
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
AC Oulu
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
PK-35
Gnistan
SJK
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 36:18 | 18 | 43 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 38 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Gnistan
Home
|
20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Away
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | -30 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
L
|