Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Barcelona Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.53
Barcelona2.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
15 GF / 13 GA
Barcelona
WLDWL
26 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
2.89
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
6
5
Shots on Goal
8.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Madrid
8 matches
Barcelona
9 matches
| Atletico Madrid | Statistic | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 15 | Goals For | 26 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.89 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 8.67 |
| 15.33 | Total Shots | 19.67 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 7.33 |
| 54.3% | Ball Possession | 64.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 3 times, Barcelona won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:30 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2 / Barcelona 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 3, draws 1, Barcelona wins 11
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
Away
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Home
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
L
D
L
|
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