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SPAIN › LA LIGA
08.11.2026 20:00
Metropolitano Stadium

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Barcelona Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.65
Barcelona2.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
31 GF / 18 GA
Barcelona Barcelona
WLDWL
64 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
3.56
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
10
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
15
5.83
Shots on Goal
8.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 16 matches
Barcelona Barcelona 18 matches
Atletico Madrid Statistic Barcelona
10 Wins 15
2 Draws 1
4 Losses 2
31 Goals For 64
18 Goals Against 22
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 3.56
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
10 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 1
5.83 Shots On Goal 8.42
15.83 Total Shots 21.25
5.67 Corners 6.58
58.2% Ball Possession 68.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 3 times, Barcelona won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:30 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2 / Barcelona 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 3, draws 1, Barcelona wins 11

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 9 0 0 39:9 30 27
W W W W W
2 9 7 1 1 19:8 11 22
W W W W W
3 9 7 0 2 23:9 14 21
W W L W W
4 9 6 1 2 16:14 2 19
L W D W W
5 9 5 1 3 17:17 0 16
W W W L W
6 9 4 2 3 14:16 -2 14
L D L W W
7 9 3 2 4 13:10 3 11
L L D L L
8 9 2 5 2 10:7 3 11
W D W D D
9 9 2 5 2 13:12 1 11
D L D L D
10 9 3 2 4 10:18 -8 11
W L D L L
11 7 2 3 2 7:6 1 9
D D D W
12 9 2 3 4 13:13 0 9
D L W W L
13 8 2 3 3 12:17 -5 9
D D W L
14 9 2 3 4 5:11 -6 9
D L W L D
15 9 2 2 5 11:12 -1 8
L D L L W
16 9 2 2 5 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
17 8 1 4 3 12:16 -4 7
D D L L D
18 9 1 4 4 11:17 -6 7
D D W L D
19 9 1 3 5 6:15 -9 6
D D L W L
20 9 0 4 5 6:18 -12 4
L D L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2