LITHUANIA A LYGA
17.08.2026 15:00
Siauliai central stadium
Referee: R. Smitas
Šiauliai
Match Timeline
Panevėžys
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
3'
V. Cerniauskas
Panevėžys
🟨
6'
T. Korkeakunnas
Panevėžys
🔄
6'
M. Bacanin ↔ A. Brazinskas
Panevėžys
9'
D. Dovydaitis · Assist: D. Ikaunieks
Šiauliai
🟨
37'
L. Vukovic
Šiauliai
🔄
46'
V. Paulauskas ↔ K. Asamoah
Panevėžys
🟨
61'
D. Romanovskij
Šiauliai
🔄
61'
D. Hasanovic ↔ K. Zebrauskas
Šiauliai
🔄
67'
N. Petkevicius ↔ O. Kurtsev
Panevėžys
🔄
67'
R. Rasimavicius ↔ Elivelton
Panevėžys
🔄
78'
D. Dovydaitis ↔ D. Jarasius
Šiauliai
🔄
78'
A. Baftalovskyi ↔ A. Valuckas
Šiauliai
🟨
81'
D. Balsys
Panevėžys
🔄
84'
D. Balsys ↔ I. Asante
Panevėžys
🔄
89'
M. Dapkus ↔ G. Micevicius
Šiauliai
🔄
89'
D. Ikaunieks ↔ K. Gustas
Šiauliai
🟨
90+3'
G. Micevicius
Šiauliai

Šiauliai vs Panevėžys Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 83.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
83.7%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Šiauliai Win 16.3%
Draw 55.6%
Panevėžys Win 28.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Šiauliai1.19
Panevėžys1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Šiauliai Šiauliai
WWDLW
32 GF / 62 GA
Panevėžys Panevėžys
WLDWL
37 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.16
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
18
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Šiauliai Šiauliai 31 matches
Panevėžys Panevėžys 32 matches
Šiauliai Statistic Panevėžys
5 Wins 12
9 Draws 8
17 Losses 12
32 Goals For 37
62 Goals Against 46
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
18 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 16
13 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Šiauliai have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Panevėžys having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Panevėžys.

Šiauliai Analysis

With 13 points from 23 games and a place of 9, Šiauliai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 22:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Panevėžys Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Panevėžys have collected 20 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 19:38 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Šiauliai won 6 times, Panevėžys won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:24 from Šiauliai's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (83.7%)
Predicted formations: Šiauliai - / Panevėžys 4-3-3
H2H summary: Šiauliai wins 6, draws 3, Panevėžys wins 6

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 9 5 56:20 36 51
W L W W W
2 28 13 11 4 39:25 14 50
D D L W W
3 28 13 6 9 43:35 8 45
W W L W D
4 28 13 5 10 41:34 7 44
L W D W L
5 28 11 8 9 32:28 4 41
W L L D D
6 28 10 8 10 36:40 -4 38
L L D L L
7 28 9 5 14 29:43 -14 32
L W W W L
8 29 4 14 11 31:48 -17 26
D D L D D
9 29 3 8 18 24:58 -34 17
L D L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L