UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
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Tsentralnyi Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 60.6%
Odds 2.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
60.6%
2.40
BTTS Yes
86%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.93
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
12.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
19.00
Probability Distribution
Polessya Win 39.4%
Draw 19.1%
Zorya Luhansk Win 41.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Polessya2.25
Zorya Luhansk1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Polessya Polessya
WWDLW
59 GF / 29 GA
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
WLDWL
30 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2.68
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
15
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
13
5.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Polessya Polessya 22 matches
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 18 matches
Polessya Statistic Zorya Luhansk
12 Wins 4
5 Draws 6
5 Losses 8
59 Goals For 30
29 Goals Against 29
2.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
15 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 16
17 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
5.5 Shots On Goal 0
23 Total Shots 0
8 Corners 0
60% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Polessya won 3 times, Zorya Luhansk won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Polessya's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Polessya 4-1-4-1 / Zorya Luhansk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Polessya wins 3, draws 3, Zorya Luhansk wins 1
Last matches: Polessya
10.08.26
Pre
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
Polessya
Chornomorets
2
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
1
2
L
23.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Plzen
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
10.07.26
Fri
Polessya
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
09.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Wörgl
11
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Sabah FA
4
1
W
29.06.26
Fri
Polessya
Universitatea Craiova
3
4
L
24.06.26
Fri
Polessya
CSKA Sofia
4
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
3
L
08.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Oleksandria
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
20.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Polessya
SK Poltava
4
0
W
Last matches: Zorya Luhansk
09.08.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Kryvbas KR
1
3
L
31.07.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
2
0
W
23.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Göztepe
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Grimsby
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Konyaspor
1
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Slovácko
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
30.06.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Shkendija
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Oleksandria
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
FC Kharkiv
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Ruh Lviv
2
1
W
27.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Obolon'-Brovar
3
3
D
28.03.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
2
2
D
24.03.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
2
4
L
H2H: Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk
18.05.26
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
0
D
30.11.25
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
2
0
W
17.05.25
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
1
W
25.11.24
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
1
1
D
05.05.24
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
1
1
D
28.10.23
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
1
W
26.07.22
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
5
3
L
07.08.20
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
Last matches: Polessya
10.08.26
Pre
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
3
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
09.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Sabah FA
4
1
W
24.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Oleksandria
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Veres Rivne
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kryvbas KR
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Dynamo Kyiv
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Halmstad
2
2
D
03.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Europa
6
0
W
27.01.26
Fri
Polessya
Stromsgodset
2
1
W
27.01.26
Fri
Polessya
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Polessya
Derry City
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Polessya
Karpaty
3
2
W
30.11.25
Pre
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
2
0
W
23.11.25
Pre
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
0
D
03.11.25
Pre
Polessya
FC Kharkiv
0
0
D
H2H at home: Polessya
30.11.25
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
2
0
W
25.11.24
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
1
1
D
05.05.24
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
1
1
D
07.08.20
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
Last matches: Zorya Luhansk
08.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Slovácko
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Oleksandria
2
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Ruh Lviv
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
1
3
L
05.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Obolon'-Brovar
3
3
D
15.03.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Kryvbas KR
1
3
L
23.02.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
2
2
D
29.01.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Rapid Wien II
5
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
3
D
21.01.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Miedz Legnica
2
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Radnik Surdulica
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
FC Kharkiv
3
1
W
24.10.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Veres Rivne
0
0
D
03.10.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
1
W
22.09.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
H2H away: Zorya Luhansk
30.11.25
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
2
0
L
25.11.24
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
1
1
D
05.05.24
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
1
1
D
07.08.20
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.76
Draw 4.05
Home 1.47
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.33
Home 1.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.36
Over 2.0 1.45
Over 2.25 1.69
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.18
Over 3.0 2.63
Over 3.25 2.97
Under 1.75 2.99
Under 2.0 2.61
Under 2.25 2.13
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 2.75 1.66
Under 3.0 1.45
Under 3.25 1.36
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 3.80
Home 1.48
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.25
Home 2.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.60
Home 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 6.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.30
Draw 4.16
Home 1.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.76
Draw 2.32
Home 2.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.51
Draw 2.60
Home 1.93
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.25 1.01
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.05
Over 1.0 1.06
Over 1.25 1.18
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 1.75 1.36
Over 2.0 1.45
Over 2.25 1.71
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.15
Over 3.0 2.60
Over 3.25 2.92
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 3.75 3.95
Over 4.0 5.32
Over 4.25 5.67
Over 4.5 5.99
Over 4.75 7.45
Over 5.0 9.95
Over 5.25 14.30
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 5.75 11.90
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.25 11.60
Under 0.5 9.05
Under 0.75 8.30
Under 1.0 7.75
Under 1.25 4.53
Under 1.5 3.37
Under 1.75 2.99
Under 2.0 2.62
Under 2.25 2.14
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 2.75 1.65
Under 3.0 1.46
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.31
Under 3.75 1.22
Under 4.0 1.13
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 4.75 1.07
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.25 1.03
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 5.75 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:1 9 9
W W W
2 2 2 0 0 7:1 6 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
4 3 1 1 1 3:2 1 4
D L W
5 3 1 1 1 5:6 -1 4
D W L
6 3 1 1 1 2:3 -1 4
W L D
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
L W
10 3 0 2 1 0:3 -3 2
D D L
11 3 0 2 1 1:5 -4 2
D D L
12 2 0 2 0 1:1 0 2
D D
13 3 0 2 1 0:3 -3 2
L D D
14 3 0 1 2 1:3 -2 1
D L L
15 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
16 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga