UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
17.08.2026 15:00
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Referee: O. Afanasyev
Polessya
Match Timeline
Zorya Luhansk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
O. Fedor
Polessya
🔄
46'
V. Kravets ↔ A. Machelyuk
Zorya Luhansk
🟨
54'
Ruslan Babenko
Polessya
59'
A. Glushchenko
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
60'
O. Fedor ↔ O. Filippov
Polessya
🔄
60'
Leandro Andrade ↔ M. Bragaru
Polessya
63'
I. Nesterenko · Assist: J. Basic
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
68'
V. Veleten ↔ O. Nazarenko
Polessya
🔄
68'
O. Andriyevski ↔ L. Emerllahu
Polessya
🔄
72'
I. Krasnopir ↔ M. Gayduchyk
Polessya
🟨
73'
Ivan Nesterenko
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
78'
I. Perduta ↔ Juninho
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
78'
J. Basic ↔ K. Dryshlyuk
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
78'
D. Jelavic ↔ Italo Henrique
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
78'
A. Glushchenko ↔ P. Budkivskyi
Zorya Luhansk

Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
60.6%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Polessya Win 39.4%
Draw 19.1%
Zorya Luhansk Win 41.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Polessya2.25
Zorya Luhansk1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Polessya Polessya
WWDLW
59 GF / 29 GA
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
WLDWL
30 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2.68
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
15
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
13
5.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Polessya Polessya 22 matches
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 18 matches
Polessya Statistic Zorya Luhansk
12 Wins 4
5 Draws 6
5 Losses 8
59 Goals For 30
29 Goals Against 29
2.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
15 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 16
17 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
5.5 Shots On Goal 0
23 Total Shots 0
8 Corners 0
60% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Polessya won 3 times, Zorya Luhansk won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:9 from Polessya's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Polessya 4-1-4-1 / Zorya Luhansk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Polessya wins 3, draws 3, Zorya Luhansk wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 0 1 13:5 8 12
W W L W W
2 5 4 0 1 10:4 6 12
W L W W W
3 5 3 1 1 12:4 8 10
L D W W W
4 5 3 0 2 10:4 6 9
W W L L W
5 4 2 1 1 6:2 4 7
W D L W
6 4 2 1 1 4:5 -1 7
D L W W
7 4 2 0 2 5:7 -2 6
L W L W
8 4 1 2 1 3:3 0 5
W L D D
9 5 1 2 2 2:4 -2 5
D L W L D
10 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
D L D W L
11 4 0 4 0 2:2 0 4
D D D D
12 4 1 1 2 2:4 -2 4
D W L L
13 4 1 1 2 2:3 -1 4
W D L L
14 5 0 3 2 0:8 -8 3
L D D D L
15 4 0 2 2 3:6 -3 2
D D L L
16 5 0 2 3 2:13 -11 2
L L D D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga