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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
24.10.2026 07:30
Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park

Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chengdu Better City Win 42.4%
Draw 9.5%
Dalian Zhixing Win 48.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chengdu Better City1.62
Dalian Zhixing1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City
WWDLW
52 GF / 42 GA
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
WLDWL
46 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
17
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
18
4.82
Shots on Goal
5.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City 31 matches
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 30 matches
Chengdu Better City Statistic Dalian Zhixing
15 Wins 14
8 Draws 4
8 Losses 12
52 Goals For 46
42 Goals Against 46
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
17 BTTS Yes 19
23 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 3
4.82 Shots On Goal 5.07
14.54 Total Shots 14.14
6.11 Corners 5.75
55.1% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Chengdu Better City's more proactive style and Dalian Zhixing's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dalian Zhixing. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Chengdu Better City Analysis

Chengdu Better City come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 52 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 51:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Felipe Silva (14 goals), Wellington Silva (8 goals), Wei Shihao (6 goals), with creative support from Wellington Silva (6 assists), Wei Shihao (4 assists), Rômulo (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Dalian Zhixing Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 43 points from 27 games, Dalian Zhixing bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 42:42, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Frank Acheampong (10 goals), Cephas Malele (6 goals), Nicolae Stanciu (5 goals), with creative support from Nicolae Stanciu (4 assists), Cephas Malele (3 assists), Mao Weijie (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Chengdu Better City won 2 times, Dalian Zhixing won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Chengdu Better City's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Chengdu Better City 4-2-3-1 / Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chengdu Better City wins 2, draws 0, Dalian Zhixing wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation