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20.10.2026 00:15
Estadio Guillermo Laza
Referee: Pablo Echavarria

Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.89
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70.9%
1.62 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.25 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.89 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.8%
1.51 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Riestra Win 29.1%
Draw 28%
Union Santa Fe Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Riestra0.91
Union Santa Fe1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
WWDLW
18 GF / 27 GA
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
WLDWL
45 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
0.56
Average Goals Scored
1.41
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
10
BTTS Yes
18
3
Over 2.5
18
3.46
Shots on Goal
4.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 32 matches
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 32 matches
Deportivo Riestra Statistic Union Santa Fe
4 Wins 11
16 Draws 7
12 Losses 14
18 Goals For 45
27 Goals Against 46
0.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
10 BTTS Yes 18
17 Over 1.5 27
3 Over 2.5 18
0 Over 3.5 9
11 Clean Sheets 6
18 Failed To Score 10
3.46 Shots On Goal 4.93
10.25 Total Shots 15.67
3.68 Corners 4.6
36% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Union Santa Fe's more proactive style and Deportivo Riestra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Union Santa Fe arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Union Santa Fe. Union Santa Fe carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 21 points while Deportivo Riestra sit 15 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Deportivo Riestra Analysis

With 11 points from 16 games and a place of 15, Deportivo Riestra still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats with a 5:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza (3 goals), J. Herrera (2 goals), M. Céliz (2 goals), with creative support from Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza (1 assists), J. Herrera (1 assists), M. Bracamonte (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union Santa Fe Analysis

Union Santa Fe sit 8 with 21 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats with a 24:20 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Tarragona (7 goals), L. Menossi (4 goals), A. Colazo (4 goals), with creative support from J. Palacios (4 assists), C. Tarragona (1 assists), L. Menossi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Riestra won 0 times, Union Santa Fe won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Deportivo Riestra's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Riestra 4-4-2 / Union Santa Fe 4-4-2
H2H summary: Deportivo Riestra wins 0, draws 1, Union Santa Fe wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
L D W L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W D W W W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W L D W D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L D L L W
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D D L W D
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W W D W W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W W L L D
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L L L W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W D W W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
L W W D W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L W L D L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D D L L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D D D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
L D W D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L D D L D
Knockout Phase