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MONTENEGRO › FIRST LEAGUE
19.10.2026 16:00
Stadion Gradski

Sutjeska vs Bokelj Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.8%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sutjeska Win 59.8%
Draw 12.3%
Bokelj Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sutjeska0.87
Bokelj0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sutjeska Sutjeska
WWDLW
24 GF / 26 GA
Bokelj Bokelj
WLDWL
13 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
9
BTTS Yes
3
9
Over 2.5
3
0.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sutjeska Sutjeska 24 matches
Bokelj Bokelj 15 matches
Sutjeska Statistic Bokelj
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 3
11 Losses 5
24 Goals For 13
26 Goals Against 10
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
9 BTTS Yes 3
14 Over 1.5 6
9 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 7
0.5 Shots On Goal 0
1.75 Total Shots 0
0.25 Corners 0
21% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bokelj. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bokelj having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sutjeska Analysis

Sutjeska approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 15 points after 10 outings. With 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Bokelj Analysis

Bokelj arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 15 points after 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sutjeska won 9 times, Bokelj won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from Sutjeska's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
H2H summary: Sutjeska wins 9, draws 0, Bokelj wins 3

Standings

Prva Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 17:12 5 17
D W W L W
2 11 4 5 2 14:11 3 17
W D D L L
3 10 4 3 3 11:7 4 15
D W W W L
4 10 4 3 3 11:7 4 15
D W W W D
5 9 4 3 2 10:7 3 15
D L D L W
6 9 4 3 2 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
7 10 3 2 5 10:17 -7 11
D L L W W
8 10 2 4 4 12:18 -6 10
D L D L W
9 9 1 5 3 7:9 -2 8
L L D D D
10 10 1 4 5 6:13 -7 7
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga