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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
19.10.2026 15:20
Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium

Abha vs Al Kholood Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 86.3%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.82
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
86.3%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.82 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.46 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Abha Win 13.7%
Draw 31.8%
Al Kholood Win 54.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Abha1.19
Al Kholood1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Abha Abha
WWDLW
7 GF / 17 GA
Al Kholood Al Kholood
WLDWL
16 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
6
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
7
3
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Abha Abha 10 matches
Al Kholood Al Kholood 12 matches
Abha Statistic Al Kholood
0 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 5
7 Goals For 16
17 Goals Against 23
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
6 BTTS Yes 9
7 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 4.22
9.38 Total Shots 12.44
2.88 Corners 4.78
45.5% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Abha expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Al Kholood in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Kholood having the stronger overall control. Al Kholood carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 12 points while Abha sit 18 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al Kholood. Abha have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Abha Analysis

Abha sit 18 with 2 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 5:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mohammed Al-Dosari (1 goals), A. Gory (1 goals), N. Fekir (1 goals), with creative support from Mohammed Al-Dosari (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Kholood Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Al Kholood have collected 12 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 12:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Iker Kortajarena (4 goals), J. Domingues (3 goals), E. Utkus (1 goals), with creative support from J. Domingues (2 assists), Coba (2 assists), Iker Kortajarena (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Abha won 0 times, Al Kholood won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Abha's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (86.3%)
Predicted formations: Abha 4-5-1 / Al Kholood 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Abha wins 0, draws 1, Al Kholood wins 1

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 23:9 14 22
W W D W W
2 8 7 0 1 26:7 19 21
W W L W W
3 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
L W W W D
5 9 5 1 3 14:8 6 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 20:10 10 15
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 13:12 1 15
W D D D W
8 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
D L D W L
9 9 3 3 3 14:18 -4 12
L L L W D
10 9 2 3 4 10:13 -3 9
L D L W D
11 9 1 6 2 6:11 -5 9
W D D D L
12 8 2 3 3 9:17 -8 9
D W D L W
13 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
W D L L D
14 9 1 4 4 8:14 -6 7
L D D L D
15 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
W L D D L
16 9 1 3 5 7:17 -10 6
W L L L D
17 9 0 4 5 4:16 -12 4
D L L L D
18
Abha Home
8 0 2 6 6:15 -9 2
L D L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1