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ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
18.10.2026 13:00
Kuressaare Linnastaadion

Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kuressaare Win 30.6%
Draw 6.1%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 63.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kuressaare1.1
FC Levadia Tallinn2.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WWDLW
45 GF / 66 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
104 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2.67
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
19
BTTS Yes
23
21
Over 2.5
28
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kuressaare Kuressaare 36 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 39 matches
Kuressaare Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
11 Wins 28
7 Draws 7
18 Losses 4
45 Goals For 104
66 Goals Against 34
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 2.67
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
19 BTTS Yes 23
26 Over 1.5 35
21 Over 2.5 28
15 Over 3.5 20
6 Clean Sheets 15
14 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Kuressaare's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Levadia Tallinn. FC Levadia Tallinn look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 72 points while Kuressaare sit 8 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Kuressaare Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Kuressaare have collected 29 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 31:49 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 72 points from 29 games, FC Levadia Tallinn bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 22 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 81:21, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kuressaare won 2 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:35 from Kuressaare's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
H2H summary: Kuressaare wins 2, draws 1, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 12

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 23 6 1 82:21 61 75
W D W W W
2 30 18 1 11 59:41 18 55
L W W D W
3 30 15 6 9 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
4 31 15 6 10 54:30 24 51
D L W W L
5 30 15 2 13 41:47 -6 47
W L L W L
6 31 13 2 16 43:47 -4 41
W W D W L
7 31 10 6 15 43:61 -18 36
D D L L L
8 30 9 5 16 33:49 -16 32
W D L L W
9 31 9 1 21 47:74 -27 28
L L L L W
10 30 5 5 20 24:67 -43 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga