04.10.2026 17:45
Estadio Eva Peron

Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Sarmiento Junin Win 0%
Draw 0%
River Plate Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarmiento Junin1.05
River Plate1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
WWDLW
31 GF / 38 GA
River Plate River Plate
WLDWL
46 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
13
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
13
3.81
Shots on Goal
5.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 28 matches
River Plate River Plate 34 matches
Sarmiento Junin Statistic River Plate
12 Wins 17
2 Draws 5
14 Losses 12
31 Goals For 46
38 Goals Against 33
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
13 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 9
3.81 Shots On Goal 5.27
10.5 Total Shots 16.17
3.69 Corners 5.27
44.1% Ball Possession 65.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento Junin won 2 times, River Plate won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:21 from Sarmiento Junin's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2 / River Plate 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sarmiento Junin wins 2, draws 2, River Plate wins 6

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W W L W D
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L D D W D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W D D D L
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W D D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L L L D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
L D D D L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L D W
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L L W D D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
W L W L L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L D D
Knockout Phase