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DENMARK › 2. DIVISION
18.10.2026 11:00

Thisted FC vs VSK Århus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.6%
Odds 2.31
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.6%
2.31 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.88 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Thisted FC Win 16.2%
Draw 5.3%
VSK Århus Win 78.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thisted FC1.05
VSK Århus1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thisted FC Thisted FC
WWDLW
21 GF / 42 GA
VSK Århus VSK Århus
WLDWL
16 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
0.89
2.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
10
BTTS Yes
4
12
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thisted FC Thisted FC 20 matches
VSK Århus VSK Århus 18 matches
Thisted FC Statistic VSK Århus
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 5
12 Losses 7
21 Goals For 16
42 Goals Against 19
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
2.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
10 BTTS Yes 4
15 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 5
9 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by VSK Århus's more proactive style and Thisted FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. VSK Århus carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 18 points while Thisted FC sit 12 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Thisted FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward VSK Århus having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward VSK Århus. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Thisted FC Analysis

With 5 points from 11 games and a place of 12, Thisted FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 9:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

VSK Århus Analysis

VSK Århus arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 18 points after 10 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 14:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Thisted FC won 0 times, VSK Århus won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:19 from Thisted FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
H2H summary: Thisted FC wins 0, draws 5, VSK Århus wins 5

Standings

2nd Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 7 4 1 30:15 15 25
L W D D W
2 11 5 6 0 21:10 11 21
W W D W D
3 12 4 7 1 17:14 3 19
W D D D D
4 11 5 3 3 15:10 5 18
L L W D D
5 12 5 3 4 20:16 4 18
L W W W L
6 11 4 5 2 19:13 6 17
L W D D D
7 12 4 5 3 16:18 -2 17
W L L W D
8 11 4 2 5 13:15 -2 14
L W L W D
9 11 3 3 5 13:18 -5 12
W W D L D
10 11 2 3 6 9:19 -10 9
D L D L L
11 11 1 3 7 11:23 -12 6
D L L L L
12 11 1 2 8 9:22 -13 5
D L L W L
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
2nd Division (Relegation Group)