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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
18.10.2026 00:30
BBVA Compass Stadium
Referee: Victor Rivas
Houston Dynamo
Match Timeline
FC Dallas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
Christian Cappis · Assist: Daniel Job
FC Dallas
🟨
27'
Agustin Resch
Houston Dynamo
🟨
28'
Franco Negri
Houston Dynamo
⚽
29'
Petar Musa
FC Dallas
⚽
49'
Héctor Herrera · Assist: Guilherme Augusto
Houston Dynamo
🟨
59'
Sebastien Ibeagha
FC Dallas
🟨
60'
Diadie Samassekou
Houston Dynamo
🔄
61'
Diadie Samassekou ↔ Ibrahim Aliyu
Houston Dynamo
🔄
61'
Daniel Job ↔ Santiago Moreno
FC Dallas
🔄
61'
Patrickson Delgado ↔ Joaquín Valiente Cioli
FC Dallas
VAR
69'
Herman Johansson
FC Dallas
🔄
72'
Lyle Foster ↔ Duncan McGuire
Houston Dynamo
🔄
79'
Herman Johansson ↔ Ran Binyamin
FC Dallas
🔄
87'
Lawrence Ennali ↔ Duane Holmes
Houston Dynamo
🔄
88'
Guilherme Augusto ↔ Nick Markanich
Houston Dynamo
🔄
89'
Bernard Kamungo ↔ Samuel Sarver
FC Dallas
🟨
90'
Lucas Halter
Houston Dynamo
⚽
90+4'
Mateusz Bogusz
Houston Dynamo
🟨
90+8'
Mateusz Bogusz
Houston Dynamo
⚽
90+11'
Petar Musa
FC Dallas
🟥
90+12'
Samuel Sarver
FC Dallas

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62%
1.57 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.79 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Houston Dynamo Win 38%
Draw 21.3%
FC Dallas Win 40.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Houston Dynamo1.52
FC Dallas1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WWDLW
60 GF / 47 GA
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WLDWL
61 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
19
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
22
4.45
Shots on Goal
4.66

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 38 matches
FC Dallas FC Dallas 33 matches
Houston Dynamo Statistic FC Dallas
20 Wins 16
9 Draws 9
9 Losses 8
60 Goals For 61
47 Goals Against 47
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
19 BTTS Yes 19
28 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 22
10 Over 3.5 15
13 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 8
4.45 Shots On Goal 4.66
13.14 Total Shots 12.24
4.28 Corners 4.45
47.6% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Houston Dynamo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC Dallas in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Dallas having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Dallas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Dallas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

Houston Dynamo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 44 points after 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, while the 34:32 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Guilherme (8 goals), M. Bogusz (5 goals), L. Ennali (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (3 assists), L. Ennali (3 assists), Jack McGlynn (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 47 points after 27 outings. With 13 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 50:42, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Musa (12 goals), L. Farrington (5 goals), S. Moreno (4 goals), with creative support from J. Valiente (6 assists), P. Musa (4 assists), S. Moreno (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Houston Dynamo won 4 times, FC Dallas won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:22 from Houston Dynamo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
Predicted formations: Houston Dynamo 4-4-2 / FC Dallas 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Houston Dynamo 2, FC Dallas 3
H2H summary: Houston Dynamo wins 4, draws 7, FC Dallas wins 4

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 7 7 63:31 32 55
W D D L D
2 30 14 9 7 56:41 15 51
L D W W W
3 30 14 9 7 55:47 8 51
D W L W D
4 30 13 9 8 52:42 10 48
D D D W D
5 30 13 8 9 41:39 2 47
D D D L D
6 31 12 10 9 48:33 15 46
D W D L D
7 30 11 9 10 39:37 2 42
D L W W W
8 31 10 10 11 43:52 -9 40
D W L W W
9 30 11 6 13 41:41 0 39
D D D L D
10 30 10 6 14 45:48 -3 36
W D L W L
11 30 9 7 14 51:56 -5 34
D L D L L
12 30 8 10 12 53:56 -3 34
D D L D D
13 30 8 10 12 47:55 -8 34
W D D L L
14 30 7 10 13 38:56 -18 31
L L L D D
15 30 6 4 20 36:75 -39 22
L L D L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)