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MACEDONIA › FIRST LEAGUE
19.10.2026 12:00

Aresimi vs Tikveš Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Aresimi Win 35.7%
Draw 13%
Tikveš Win 51.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aresimi1.31
Tikveš1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aresimi Aresimi
WWDLW
19 GF / 44 GA
Tikveš Tikveš
WLDWL
28 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.47
2.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
8
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aresimi Aresimi 18 matches
Tikveš Tikveš 19 matches
Aresimi Statistic Tikveš
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 7
9 Losses 7
19 Goals For 28
44 Goals Against 32
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
2.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
8 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Tikveš's more proactive style and Aresimi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tikveš. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tikveš having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tikveš carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 13 points while Aresimi sit 8 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Aresimi Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Aresimi have collected 8 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 6:19 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tikveš Analysis

Tikveš come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 13 points from 8 matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 17:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Aresimi won 1 times, Tikveš won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:16 from Aresimi's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
H2H summary: Aresimi wins 1, draws 1, Tikveš wins 3

Standings

First League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 21:9 12 20
D W D L W
2 9 5 2 2 20:7 13 17
L W D W W
3 9 5 2 2 16:9 7 17
W W D W D
4 9 4 4 1 20:7 13 16
W D D W D
5 9 4 2 3 7:10 -3 14
D L W W W
6 9 2 4 3 14:11 3 10
D D D L L
7 9 3 1 5 11:16 -5 10
L W D L L
8 9 2 3 4 7:20 -13 9
D L D L D
9 9 2 1 6 9:26 -17 7
W L D W L
10 9 0 3 6 4:14 -10 3
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL