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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
19.10.2026 01:10
Estadio Deportivo Cali
Referee: Wilmar Roldan

Deportivo Cali vs Junior Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62%
Odds 1.89
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62%
1.89 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.4%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cali Win 62%
Draw 4.9%
Junior Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cali1.31
Junior1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
WWDLW
42 GF / 25 GA
Junior Junior
WLDWL
62 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.41
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
14
BTTS Yes
25
10
Over 2.5
22
4.16
Shots on Goal
4.34

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 34 matches
Junior Junior 44 matches
Deportivo Cali Statistic Junior
15 Wins 16
11 Draws 11
8 Losses 17
42 Goals For 62
25 Goals Against 62
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
14 BTTS Yes 25
22 Over 1.5 36
10 Over 2.5 22
4 Over 3.5 12
15 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 10
4.16 Shots On Goal 4.34
11.97 Total Shots 13.5
4.28 Corners 4.82
50.3% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Junior. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Deportivo Cali come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Cali Analysis

So far, Deportivo Cali have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 27 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 20:16 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Rodríguez (10 goals), E. Bello (8 goals), A. Hurtado (5 goals), with creative support from J. Martínez (8 assists), S. Rodríguez (3 assists), L. Chaverra (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Junior Analysis

Junior come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 35 points from 19 matches. The record of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 31:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Muriel (15 goals), T. Gutiérrez (8 goals), G. Paiva (5 goals), with creative support from G. Paiva (6 assists), Y. Súarez (4 assists), T. Gutiérrez (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cali won 4 times, Junior won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Deportivo Cali's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cali 4-2-3-1 / Junior 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cali wins 4, draws 5, Junior wins 6

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D W D L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D D L L W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W W D L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L D D D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L D L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D D W L L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D W W W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W L L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L D W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W W L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D D L L D
Post season qualification