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18.10.2026 13:00
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Referee: I. Kherkhadze
Dinamo Tbilisi
Match Timeline
Spaeri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
Nika Ninua · Assist: Marios Pourzitidis
Dinamo Tbilisi
VAR
44'
Gocha tsirdava
Spaeri
🔄
46'
Temuri tsalughelashvili ↔ Zurab Golubiani
Spaeri
🔄
57'
Khalid doltmurziev ↔ Mate Vatsadze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
57'
Maxime teixeira ↔ Lyes Houri
Dinamo Tbilisi
⚽
64'
Zurab Golubiani · Assist: Tornike Askurava
Spaeri
🔄
65'
Giorgi Kharaishvili ↔ tornike kvaratskhelia
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
65'
santos leo ↔ Paris Psaltis
Dinamo Tbilisi
⚽
69'
Marios Pourzitidis · Assist: Welton Júnior
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
72'
Jaba Kankava ↔ Barnes Osei
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
74'
bukhuti putkaradze ↔ Nikoloz Chomakhidze
Spaeri
🔄
74'
Saba gegiadze ↔ Billy Jibril
Spaeri
🔄
74'
nika chagunava ↔ Sienda Matenjva
Spaeri
⚽
80'
Mate Vatsadze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
81'
Lasha Kokhreidze ↔ d giorgi tsetskhladze
Spaeri
🟨
90+1'
Nika Ninua
Dinamo Tbilisi

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
73.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 78.7%
Draw 5%
Spaeri Win 16.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Tbilisi1.58
Spaeri1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
L W W W D
9 GF / 4 GA
Spaeri Spaeri
D L L D D
7 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
24
BTTS Yes
24
22
Over 2.5
21
4.81
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 39 matches
Spaeri Spaeri 35 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Statistic Spaeri
16 Wins 7
12 Draws 14
11 Losses 14
60 Goals For 49
54 Goals Against 57
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
24 BTTS Yes 24
30 Over 1.5 28
22 Over 2.5 21
9 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 9
4.81 Shots On Goal 4.25
4.77 Total Shots 4.04
4.55 Corners 4.86
45.7% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Dinamo Tbilisi's more proactive style and Spaeri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Spaeri. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dinamo Tbilisi expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Spaeri in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Spaeri having the stronger overall control. Dinamo Tbilisi arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 48 points compared to Spaeri in 9 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 48 points after 27 outings. With 13 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:30, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Spaeri Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Spaeri have collected 26 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 37:46 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi won 3 times, Spaeri won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Dinamo Tbilisi's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Tbilisi 4-3-3 / Spaeri 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dinamo Tbilisi wins 3, draws 1, Spaeri wins 0

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 56:40 16 59
L W W W W
2 32 18 5 9 46:33 13 59
W D W W W
3 32 16 10 6 52:32 20 58
W D W W L
4 32 16 8 8 40:28 12 56
W D L W W
5 32 11 10 11 53:44 9 43
W W L L D
6 32 12 4 16 41:41 0 40
L L L L L
7 32 11 6 15 43:57 -14 39
L D L W W
8 32 6 13 13 41:51 -10 31
W D D L D
9 32 6 13 13 28:46 -18 31
L D D L L
10 32 3 11 18 25:53 -28 20
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2