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18.10.2026 13:00
Volna Stadium
Volna
Match Timeline
Minsk II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
23'
A. Vlasov · Assist: M. Grechikha
Volna
🟨
29'
Minsk II
Minsk II
⚽
35'
D. Morozov · Assist: V. Zholudov
Minsk II
⚽
38'
S. Matusevich
Minsk II
🔄
46'
I. Tarabesh ↔ J. Oreshkevich
Volna
🟨
60'
Minsk II
Minsk II
🔄
61'
D. Tkachik ↔ E. Nikoporenok
Volna
🔄
64'
V. Ganchuk ↔ D. Gorkovsky
Minsk II
🔄
64'
G. Bulatskiy ↔ I. Volchok
Minsk II
🟨
68'
Minsk II
Minsk II
🟨
77'
Volna
Volna
⚽
79'
I. Volchok · Assist: S. Matusevich
Minsk II
🔄
80'
A. Vlasov ↔ K. Kovalevich
Volna
🔄
80'
D. Matyash ↔ A. Samuylik
Volna
⚽
84'
V. Zholudov · Assist: I. Bondarenko
Minsk II
🔄
85'
V. Zholudov ↔ N. Bulyga
Minsk II
🔄
85'
I. Bondarenko ↔ I. Porshnev
Minsk II
🔄
87'
S. Matusevich ↔ V. Korotonozhkin
Minsk II

Volna vs Minsk II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Volna Win 60.3%
Draw 7.2%
Minsk II Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Volna1.61
Minsk II1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Volna Volna
D L L L L
2 GF / 11 GA
Minsk II Minsk II
L L L D L
4 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
21
BTTS Yes
16
20
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Volna Volna 31 matches
Minsk II Minsk II 28 matches
Volna Statistic Minsk II
11 Wins 9
6 Draws 3
14 Losses 16
45 Goals For 37
55 Goals Against 52
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
21 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 24
20 Over 2.5 19
14 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Minsk II having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Minsk II. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Volna Analysis

With 34 points from 27 games and a place of 11, Volna still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats with a 40:50 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Minsk II Analysis

Minsk II sit 13 with 30 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 37:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Volna won 4 times, Minsk II won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:6 from Volna's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
H2H summary: Volna wins 4, draws 2, Minsk II wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 21 6 5 62:30 32 69
W L W W W
2 32 22 3 7 60:45 15 69
W W W W W
3 31 20 5 6 81:38 43 65
W D W W D
4 32 19 6 7 70:38 32 63
D W W L W
5 31 16 5 10 53:38 15 53
L L W W D
6 32 16 3 13 55:51 4 51
W W L L L
7 32 14 8 10 62:47 15 50
L W W D W
8 32 13 5 14 59:52 7 44
W L L L L
9
Volna Home
32 13 5 14 47:56 -9 44
W W W L D
10 32 10 13 9 45:45 0 43
D W W D L
11 32 11 6 15 37:43 -6 39
L L L W W
12 31 11 5 15 43:46 -3 38
L L L W L
13 32 11 3 18 46:61 -15 36
L W L W L
14 32 10 6 16 40:59 -19 36
W W W L L
15 31 8 9 14 32:40 -8 33
W L D W L
16 32 6 6 20 44:69 -25 24
L L W L L
17 31 6 5 20 34:79 -45 23
L L W D L
18 31 5 7 19 40:73 -33 22
L L L L D