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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
18.10.2026 00:30
Children's Mercy Park

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sporting Kansas City Win 57.3%
Draw 9.1%
Real Salt Lake Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Kansas City1.36
Real Salt Lake1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
WWDLW
40 GF / 74 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
51 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.59
2.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
19
BTTS Yes
23
24
Over 2.5
22
4.36
Shots on Goal
5.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 34 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 32 matches
Sporting Kansas City Statistic Real Salt Lake
9 Wins 11
4 Draws 7
21 Losses 14
40 Goals For 51
74 Goals Against 52
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
2.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
19 BTTS Yes 23
30 Over 1.5 30
24 Over 2.5 22
13 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 3
12 Failed To Score 6
4.36 Shots On Goal 5.18
10.93 Total Shots 13.71
4 Corners 4.75
44.5% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Salt Lake. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sporting Kansas City expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Real Salt Lake in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Salt Lake having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sporting Kansas City Analysis

With 21 points from 27 games and a place of 15, Sporting Kansas City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 32:65, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Joveljić (8 goals), André Luiz (7 goals), C. Harris (3 goals), with creative support from C. Harris (3 assists), Manu García (3 assists), S. Afrifa (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 32 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats with a 40:44 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Solans (6 goals), Zavier Gozo (4 goals), D. Luna (4 goals), with creative support from S. Solans (3 assists), M. Guilavogui (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Kansas City won 4 times, Real Salt Lake won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:26 from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sporting Kansas City wins 4, draws 3, Real Salt Lake wins 8

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 6 7 61:30 31 51
D L D W L
2 28 14 8 6 54:38 16 50
W W W W D
3 28 13 8 7 52:45 7 47
L W D W W
4 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
D W D W W
5 28 13 6 9 36:34 2 45
D L D L W
6 29 11 9 9 44:31 13 42
D L D L W
7 28 11 8 9 38:35 3 41
W W W W D
8 28 11 4 13 39:39 0 37
D L D W D
9 29 9 9 11 39:50 -11 36
L W W D L
10 28 9 6 13 51:54 -3 33
D L L L D
11 28 9 5 14 41:46 -5 32
L W L L L
12 28 8 8 12 48:51 -3 32
L D D L L
13 28 7 10 11 36:51 -15 31
L D D W D
14 28 7 9 12 42:51 -9 30
D L L L L
15 28 6 4 18 35:68 -33 22
D L W L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)