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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
18.10.2026 00:30
Q2 Stadium
Referee: Tori Penso
Austin
Live Timeline
Vancouver Whitecaps
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Andrés Cubas
Vancouver Whitecaps

Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.2%
Odds 1.54
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.2%
1.54 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.47 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
6.75 ▥
Probability Distribution
Austin Win 20.5%
Draw 4.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 75.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Austin1.16
Vancouver Whitecaps1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Austin Austin
WWDLW
44 GF / 62 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WLDWL
66 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
21
BTTS Yes
16
22
Over 2.5
20
4.03
Shots on Goal
5.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Austin Austin 37 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 37 matches
Austin Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
9 Wins 17
12 Draws 8
16 Losses 12
44 Goals For 66
62 Goals Against 41
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
21 BTTS Yes 16
29 Over 1.5 29
22 Over 2.5 20
13 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 15
11 Failed To Score 9
4.03 Shots On Goal 5.82
10.69 Total Shots 16.94
4.48 Corners 6.3
48.8% Ball Possession 56.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Vancouver Whitecaps's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 50 points while Austin sit 13 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Austin expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Vancouver Whitecaps in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver Whitecaps having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Vancouver Whitecaps.

Austin Analysis

Austin sit 13 with 31 points after 27 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, while the 35:47 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Ramirez (8 goals), F. Torres (4 goals), M. Uzuni (4 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (4 assists), Joseph Rosales (3 assists), Ervin Torres (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Placed 1 with 50 points from 27 outings, Vancouver Whitecaps continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 60:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. White (10 goals), T. Müller (6 goals), Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez (4 goals), with creative support from T. Müller (5 assists), O. Larraz (5 assists), Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Austin 3-4-3 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Austin 2, Vancouver Whitecaps 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 7 7 61:30 31 52
D D L D W
2 29 14 9 6 54:38 16 51
D W W W W
3 29 14 8 7 53:45 8 50
W L W D W
4 29 13 8 8 51:41 10 47
D D W D W
5 29 13 7 9 39:37 2 46
D D L D L
6 30 12 9 9 47:32 15 45
W D L D L
7 29 11 8 10 38:36 2 41
L W W W W
8 30 10 9 11 41:50 -9 39
W L W W D
9 29 11 5 13 41:41 0 38
D D L D W
10 29 9 6 14 51:56 -5 33
L D L L L
11 29 9 6 14 42:47 -5 33
D L W L L
12 29 8 9 12 51:54 -3 33
D L D D L
13 29 7 10 12 44:53 -9 31
D D L L L
14 29 7 10 12 37:54 -17 31
L L D D W
15 29 6 4 19 35:72 -37 22
L D L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)