Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsSao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
30 matches
Vasco DA Gama
29 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 13 | Losses | 12 |
| 35 | Goals For | 36 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.23 | Shots On Goal | 5.45 |
| 13.57 | Total Shots | 17.76 |
| 6.83 | Corners | 6 |
| 53.5% | Ball Possession | 54.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vasco DA Gama. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sao Paulo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sao Paulo expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Vasco DA Gama in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vasco DA Gama having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Sao Paulo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 36 points from 29 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats with a 33:34 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Luciano (8 goals), J. Calleri (8 goals), Ferreira (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), Luciano (2 assists), Artur (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Vasco DA Gama approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 35 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 36:42 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Gómez (5 goals), David (4 goals), Thiago Mendes (4 goals), with creative support from J. Rodríguez (3 assists), A. Gómez (2 assists), David (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 7 times, Vasco DA Gama won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 64 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 53 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 11 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46:44 | 2 | 48 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 47 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | 1 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | -31 | 18 |
L
L
D
L
W
|