Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vasco DA Gama Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.4
Vasco DA Gama1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo
WWDLW
23 GF / 20 GA
Vasco DA Gama
WLDWL
22 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
10
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
11
4.11
Shots on Goal
5.37
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
18 matches
Vasco DA Gama
19 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 23 | Goals For | 22 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 5.37 |
| 11.83 | Total Shots | 17.47 |
| 6.56 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 7 times, Vasco DA Gama won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1 / Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 7, draws 2, Vasco DA Gama wins 6
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
16.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H: Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama
18.04.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
02.11.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
0
2
W
13.06.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
3
L
17.10.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
23.06.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
4
1
L
07.10.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
20.05.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
4
2
W
05.08.21
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
29.07.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
W
22.11.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
16.08.20
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
28.11.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
25.08.19
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
0
L
22.11.18
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
0
L
05.08.18
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
Last matches: Sao Paulo
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Sao Paulo
13.06.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
3
L
17.10.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
20.05.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
4
2
W
29.07.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
W
22.11.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
28.11.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
05.08.18
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
16.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H away: Vasco DA Gama
13.06.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
3
W
17.10.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
L
20.05.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
4
2
L
29.07.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
L
22.11.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
28.11.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
L
05.08.18
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B