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UGANDA › PREMIER LEAGUE
15.10.2026 13:00
Hamz Stadium

Express vs UPDF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Express Win 69.4%
Draw 17.9%
UPDF Win 12.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Express0.56
UPDF0.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Express Express
WWDLW
3 GF / 4 GA
UPDF UPDF
WLDWL
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Express Express 5 matches
UPDF UPDF 4 matches
Express Statistic UPDF
1 Wins 1
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
3 Goals For 2
4 Goals Against 2
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
1 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Express won 4 times, UPDF won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:3 from Express's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.3%)
H2H summary: Express wins 4, draws 1, UPDF wins 0

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 14:3 11 14
W D W W W
2 6 4 2 0 11:2 9 14
W D W D W
3 5 4 1 0 11:3 8 13
D W W W W
4 5 3 1 1 6:2 4 10
W D L W W
5 6 3 1 2 4:4 0 10
W W W D L
6 6 3 0 3 6:9 -3 9
L L L W W
7 4 2 2 0 5:3 2 8
W W D D
8 4 2 1 1 8:2 6 7
D W W L
9 6 2 1 3 9:7 2 7
D W L L W
10 6 2 1 3 4:9 -5 7
D L L W L
11 6 2 1 3 4:10 -6 7
L L W D L
12
UPDF Away
4 1 2 1 2:2 0 5
W D L D
13 5 1 2 2 3:4 -1 5
D D L W L
14 5 1 2 2 2:3 -1 5
W L D D L
15 4 1 0 3 3:7 -4 3
L L L W
16 6 1 0 5 3:13 -10 3
L W L L L
17 5 0 2 3 3:8 -5 2
L D L L D
18 5 0 1 4 1:8 -7 1
L L L D L