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15.10.2026 13:00
Hamz Stadium
Express
Match Timeline
UPDF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
D. Talemwa
UPDF
⚽
8'
D. Talemwa
UPDF
⚽
75'
H. Wamala
Express

Express vs UPDF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Express Win 69.4%
Draw 17.9%
UPDF Win 12.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Express0.56
UPDF0.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Express Express
D D L W L
3 GF / 4 GA
UPDF UPDF
W D L D
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Express Express 5 matches
UPDF UPDF 4 matches
Express Statistic UPDF
1 Wins 1
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
3 Goals For 2
4 Goals Against 2
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
1 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Express won 4 times, UPDF won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:3 from Express's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.3%)
H2H summary: Express wins 4, draws 1, UPDF wins 0

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 19:5 14 23
W W W L W
2 9 7 2 0 18:6 12 23
W D W W D
3 10 6 3 1 19:6 13 21
L W D W W
4 10 5 4 1 11:4 7 19
W D D W D
5 9 6 1 2 12:6 6 19
W W W W W
6 10 5 2 3 19:5 14 17
W W L L D
7 10 4 3 3 10:13 -3 15
D W W D L
8 9 4 1 4 11:13 -2 13
W W W L D
9 10 4 1 5 11:15 -4 13
L L D W L
10 6 3 3 0 7:4 3 12
D W W W D
11 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
L D W D W
12 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
W D D D L
13
UPDF Away
9 2 2 5 4:8 -4 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 5:10 -5 8
L L W L W
15 10 2 2 6 6:15 -9 8
L L L D D
16 9 1 1 7 5:17 -12 4
L W L L L
17 9 1 1 7 6:22 -16 4
L D L L W
18 10 0 3 7 10:25 -15 3
L L D L L