Brighton
Match Timeline
Leeds
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leeds Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.56
Leeds1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton
WWDLW
14 GF / 15 GA
Leeds
WLDWL
9 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
8
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
5
4.44
Shots on Goal
3.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brighton
9 matches
Leeds
9 matches
| Brighton | Statistic | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 4 |
| 14 | Goals For | 9 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.44 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 12.44 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 4.89 | Corners | 4 |
| 47.8% | Ball Possession | 47.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 10 times, Leeds won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:7 from Brighton's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Leeds 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Brighton wins 10, draws 3, Leeds wins 2
Stats
Brighton
Leeds
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
2
2
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
Brighton
Formation
Leeds
B. Verbruggen
M. Wieffer
J. P. van Hecke
L. Dunk
F. Kadioglu
C. Baleba
Y. Ayari
Y. Minteh
G. Rutter
D. Gomez
D. Welbeck
Lucas Perri
J. Bogle
J. Rodon
J. Bijol
G. Gudmundsson
E. Ampadu
B. Aaronson
S. Longstaff
A. Tanaka
N. Okafor
D. Calvert-Lewin
Brighton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
27
M. Wieffer
D
🎯 11'
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
5
L. Dunk
D
24
F. Kadioglu
D
17
C. Baleba
M
26
Y. Ayari
M
↓ 90+4'
11
Y. Minteh
M
🎯 70'
↓ 88'
10
G. Rutter
M
↓ 90+4'
25
D. Gomez
M
⚽ 64'
⚽ 70'
↓ 81'
18
D. Welbeck
F
⚽ 11'
↓ 82'
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
21
O. Boscagli
D
42
D. Coppola
D
19
C. Kostoulas
F
↑ 88'
29
M. De Cuyper
D
14
T. Watson
F
↑ 81'
9
S. Tzimas
F
↑ 82'
49
J. Knight
M
↑ 90+4'
58
N. Oriola
F
↑ 90+4'
Leeds
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Lucas Perri
G
2
J. Bogle
D
↓ 77'
6
J. Rodon
D
15
J. Bijol
D
3
G. Gudmundsson
D
4
E. Ampadu
M
🟨 73'
11
B. Aaronson
M
8
S. Longstaff
M
↓ 60'
22
A. Tanaka
M
↓ 61'
19
N. Okafor
M
↓ 77'
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
F
↓ 65'
Substitutes
26
K. Darlow
G
7
D. James
M
↑ 61'
24
J. Justin
D
↑ 77'
18
A. Stach
M
↑ 60'
14
L. Nmecha
F
↑ 65'
20
J. Harrison
F
↑ 77'
10
J. Piroe
F
5
P. Struijk
D
44
I. Gruev
M
Last matches: Brighton
15.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Bologna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
Last matches: Leeds
15.08.26
Fri
Leeds
FC Augsburg
4
0
W
12.08.26
Fri
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Leeds
RB Leipzig
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
H2H: Brighton vs Leeds
17.05.26
H2H
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
L
01.11.25
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
3
0
W
11.03.23
H2H
Leeds
Brighton
2
2
D
27.08.22
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
1
0
W
15.05.22
H2H
Leeds
Brighton
1
1
D
27.11.21
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
0
0
D
01.05.21
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
2
0
W
16.01.21
H2H
Leeds
Brighton
0
1
W
18.03.17
H2H
Leeds
Brighton
2
0
L
09.12.16
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
2
0
W
29.02.16
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
4
0
W
17.10.15
H2H
Leeds
Brighton
1
2
W
24.02.15
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
2
0
W
19.08.14
H2H
Leeds
Brighton
0
2
W
11.02.14
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
1
0
W
Last matches: Brighton
15.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Bologna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
1
1
D
03.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
3
4
L
22.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
1
W
18.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
W
H2H at home: Brighton
01.11.25
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
3
0
W
27.08.22
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
1
0
W
27.11.21
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
0
0
D
01.05.21
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
2
0
W
09.12.16
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
2
0
W
29.02.16
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
4
0
W
24.02.15
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
2
0
W
11.02.14
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
1
0
W
Last matches: Leeds
12.08.26
Fri
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Leeds
Derby
3
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Newcastle
3
4
L
01.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Liverpool
0
0
D
28.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
1
1
D
14.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
2
3
L
09.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
0
2
L
H2H away: Leeds
01.11.25
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
3
0
L
27.08.22
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
1
0
L
27.11.21
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
0
0
D
01.05.21
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
2
0
L
09.12.16
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
2
0
L
29.02.16
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
4
0
L
24.02.15
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
2
0
L
11.02.14
H2H
Brighton
Leeds
1
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Home
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Leeds
Away
|
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship