ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: A. Diaz
Mushuc Runa SC
Match Timeline
Barcelona SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Elian Caicedo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
56'
Elian Caicedo ↔ Nazareno Bazán
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
63'
Miguel Perea ↔ Renso Tufino
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
63'
Jeremy Cusme ↔ Franklin Carabali
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
63'
Jefferson Wila ↔ Marcos Mejía
Barcelona SC
🔄
63'
Jhonny Quiñónez ↔ Johan García
Barcelona SC
🔄
63'
Tomás Martínez ↔ Sergio Díaz
Barcelona SC
🟨
66'
Ronny Biojo
Mushuc Runa SC
🟥
70'
Renso Tufino
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
84'
Renato Ibarra ↔ Bryan Corozo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
84'
Arnaldo Zambrano ↔ Freddy Mina
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
84'
Tomás Rodríguez ↔ Erick Mendoza
Barcelona SC
🔄
90'
Jonathan Perlaza ↔ Héctor Villalba
Barcelona SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mushuc Runa SC Win 49.2%
Draw 9.5%
Barcelona SC Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mushuc Runa SC1.2
Barcelona SC1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
WWDLW
32 GF / 34 GA
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WLDWL
35 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1
15
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
13
4.04
Shots on Goal
3.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 24 matches
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 38 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Statistic Barcelona SC
8 Wins 14
7 Draws 10
9 Losses 14
32 Goals For 35
34 Goals Against 38
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1
15 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 13
5 Failed To Score 12
4.04 Shots On Goal 3.35
12.92 Total Shots 12.21
4.92 Corners 3.91
48.3% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Barcelona SC's more proactive style and Mushuc Runa SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mushuc Runa SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Barcelona SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barcelona SC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barcelona SC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Mushuc Runa SC Analysis

Mushuc Runa SC sit 10 with 28 points after 23 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 29:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronie Carrillo (6 goals), Kevin Velasco (2 goals), Cristopher Angulo (2 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Kevin Velasco (2 assists), Jackson González (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Barcelona SC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 35 points from 24 matches. The record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 25:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Darío Benedetto (4 goals), Jhonny Quiñónez (2 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), with creative support from Tomás Martínez (2 assists), Darío Benedetto (1 assists), Jhonny Quiñónez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mushuc Runa SC won 1 times, Barcelona SC won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:31 from Mushuc Runa SC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)
Predicted formations: Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2 / Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mushuc Runa SC wins 1, draws 5, Barcelona SC wins 9
Stats
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Goal 1
8 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 6
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
286 Total passes 428
212 Passes accurate 340
0.91 expected_goals 0.44
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mushuc Runa SC
Formation
Barcelona SC
Rodrigo Formento
Rodrigo Formento
Cristopher Angulo
Cristopher Angulo
Ronny Biojo
Ronny Biojo
Jeremy Cusme
Jeremy Cusme
José Hernández
José Hernández
Tomson Minda
Tomson Minda
Nicolás Dávila
Nicolás Dávila
Arnaldo Zambrano
Arnaldo Zambrano
Miguel Perea
Miguel Perea
Renato Ibarra
Renato Ibarra
Elian Caicedo
Elian Caicedo
José Contreras
José Contreras
Bryan Carabalí
Bryan Carabalí
Javier Báez
Javier Báez
Gustavo Vallecilla
Gustavo Vallecilla
Jonathan Perlaza
Jonathan Perlaza
Matias Lugo
Matias Lugo
Jhonny Quiñónez
Jhonny Quiñónez
Tomás Rodríguez
Tomás Rodríguez
Tomás Martínez
Tomás Martínez
Jefferson Wila
Jefferson Wila
Luis Cano
Luis Cano
Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
Rodrigo Formento
G
99
Cristopher Angulo
D
4
Ronny Biojo
🟨 66'
D
50
Jeremy Cusme
↓ 63'
D
33
José Hernández
D
7
Tomson Minda
M
5
Nicolás Dávila
M
8
Arnaldo Zambrano
↓ 84'
M
28
Miguel Perea
↓ 63'
M
30
Renato Ibarra
↓ 84'
F
14
Elian Caicedo
↓ 56' 🟨 8'
F
Substitutes
11
Nazareno Bazán
↑ 56'
F
12
Franklin Carabali
↑ 63'
D
9
Renso Tufino
↑ 63' 🟥 70'
M
19
Bryan Corozo
↑ 84'
M
10
Freddy Mina
↑ 84'
F
42
Adonnis Pabón
G
2
José Flor
D
52
Derlys Gómez
M
18
Jackson González
M
23
Lucas Lemos
M
61
Jefferson Caicedo
F
53
Jeremy Braye
M
Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
José Contreras
G
18
Bryan Carabalí
D
33
Javier Báez
D
4
Gustavo Vallecilla
D
15
Jonathan Perlaza
↓ 90'
D
32
Matias Lugo
M
28
Jhonny Quiñónez
↓ 63'
M
11
Tomás Rodríguez
↓ 84'
M
23
Tomás Martínez
↓ 63'
M
51
Jefferson Wila
↓ 63'
M
16
Luis Cano
F
Substitutes
70
Marcos Mejía
↑ 63'
F
50
Johan García
↑ 63'
M
8
Sergio Díaz
↑ 63'
F
7
Erick Mendoza
↑ 84'
F
21
Héctor Villalba
↑ 90'
F
13
José Luis Angulo
G
26
Byron Castillo
D
27
Willian Vargas
D
14
Alex Rangel
D
35
Jefferson Intriago
M
17
Dixon Gaspar
M
25
Ronald Perlaza
F
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
22.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
0
D
10.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
W
01.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
2
1
W
27.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
0
2
L
24.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
1
1
D
20.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
14.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
1
2
L
11.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
06.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
Last matches: Barcelona SC
23.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
3
0
W
09.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
2
L
02.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
27.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
22.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
12.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
02.06.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
29.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
4
L
24.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Aucas
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
06.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
H2H: Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC
16.08.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
22.04.26
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
L
22.06.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
0
5
L
23.02.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L
01.12.24
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
02.06.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
26.08.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
01.04.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L
07.02.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
3
L
29.01.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L
08.08.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
L
20.03.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
03.10.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
0
L
17.04.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
17.12.20
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
L
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
27.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
0
2
L
20.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
H2H at home: Mushuc Runa SC
16.08.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
0
5
L
02.06.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
26.08.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
07.02.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
3
L
20.03.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
17.04.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
Last matches: Barcelona SC
02.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
22.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
12.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
0
0
D
02.06.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
29.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
4
L
24.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.02.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Argentinos JRS
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Barcelona SC
16.08.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
0
5
W
02.06.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
0
L
26.08.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
07.02.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
3
W
20.03.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
17.04.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
2
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 22 1 3 64:26 38 67
W W W W W
2 26 12 7 7 45:23 22 43
W D L W D
3 25 12 6 7 33:25 8 42
D W W W W
4 25 12 5 8 29:26 3 41
L W W L L
5 26 10 9 7 28:20 8 39
W D L D L
6 25 11 5 9 24:20 4 38
W L W W D
7 26 9 8 9 28:28 0 35
L W L D W
8 25 9 7 9 28:29 -1 34
D W W W W
9 26 8 9 9 32:34 -2 33
D D W W L
10 26 8 9 9 25:29 -4 33
W D D L D
11 26 9 5 12 22:32 -10 32
D L L L W
12 26 8 6 12 30:39 -9 30
L W D L L
13 25 8 8 9 21:29 -8 29
W D L L D
14 26 8 2 16 23:37 -14 26
L L L L W
15 25 6 6 13 17:27 -10 24
L D L L L
16 26 4 5 17 12:37 -25 17
L L W L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs