Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
21 matches
Coritiba
22 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 26 | Goals For | 27 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.95 | Shots On Goal | 3.36 |
| 12.05 | Total Shots | 10.86 |
| 6.38 | Corners | 3.45 |
| 53.5% | Ball Possession | 39.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Sao Paulo's more proactive style and Coritiba's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Coritiba. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Sao Paulo sit 12 with 26 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats with a 26:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Luciano (5 goals), Jonathan Calleri (5 goals), Ferreirinha (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), Luciano (2 assists), Jonathan Calleri (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 27 points from 21 games and a place of 11, Coritiba still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 25:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Breno Lopes (8 goals), Joaquín Lavega (5 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (8 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 6 times, Coritiba won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Lineups
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Santos
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
Palmeiras
Coritiba
Flamengo
Coritiba
Bahia
Coritiba
Santos
Coritiba
Internacional
Coritiba
Vitoria
Coritiba
Gremio
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Botafogo
Coritiba
Fluminense
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Mirassol
Coritiba
Remo
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
Flamengo
Coritiba
Santos
Coritiba
Vitoria
Coritiba
Gremio
Coritiba
Botafogo
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Mirassol
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Coritiba
Away
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|