Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
64.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.3%
|
- |
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sunderland
36 matches
Nottingham Forest
48 matches
| Sunderland | Statistic | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 16 |
| 11 | Draws | 13 |
| 12 | Losses | 19 |
| 38 | Goals For | 62 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.77 |
| 10.58 | Total Shots | 14.17 |
| 3.86 | Corners | 5.54 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nottingham Forest.
Sunderland sit 11 with 46 points after 33 league matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 33:36 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Brobbey (6 goals), W. Isidor (5 goals), C. Talbi (4 goals), with creative support from E. Le Fee (5 assists), Granit Xhaka (5 assists), N. Mukiele (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with N. Angulo, J. T. Bi, R. Mundle unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 36 points from 33 games and a place of 16, Nottingham Forest still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 32:44, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Gibbs-White (12 goals), Igor Jesus (4 goals), C. Hudson-Odoi (3 goals), with creative support from C. Hudson-Odoi (4 assists), O. Hutchinson (4 assists), Igor Jesus (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with W. Boly, John Victor, N. Savona unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Sunderland won 2 times, Nottingham Forest won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Sunderland's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Sunderland
4
6
3
2
7
2
Lineups
Sunderland
Chelsea
Sunderland
Everton
Sunderland
Manchester United
Sunderland
Wolves
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Tottenham
Sunderland
Newcastle
Sunderland
Brighton
Sunderland
Port Vale
Sunderland
Leeds
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Fulham
Sunderland
Oxford United
Sunderland
Liverpool
Sunderland
Arsenal
Sunderland
Burnley
Sunderland
West Ham
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
Sunderland
Everton
Sunderland
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Wolves
Sunderland
Chelsea
Sunderland
Manchester United
Sunderland
Tottenham
Sunderland
Brighton
Sunderland
Fulham
Sunderland
Liverpool
Sunderland
Burnley
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
Sunderland
Manchester City
Sunderland
Leeds
Sunderland
Newcastle
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Arsenal
Sunderland
Everton
Sunderland
Wolves
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Brentford
Sunderland
West Ham
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
SC Braga
Nottingham Forest
Wrexham
Nottingham Forest
West Ham
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
Utrecht
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Nottingham Forest
Wolves
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Sunderland
Home
|
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
Away
|
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|