Chelsea
Match Timeline
Ajax
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Ajax Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.74
Ajax1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea
WWDLW
18 GF / 12 GA
Ajax
WLDWL
17 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
4.4
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
10 matches
Ajax
11 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 18 | Goals For | 17 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.4 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 12.4 | Total Shots | 15.36 |
| 5.2 | Corners | 6.09 |
| 57.3% | Ball Possession | 57.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 2 times, Ajax won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Chelsea's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-3-3 / Ajax 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 2, draws 1, Ajax wins 0
Stats
Chelsea
Ajax
Shots on Goal
10
10
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
0
0
Blocked Shots
8
8
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
Chelsea
Formation
Ajax
F. Jorgensen
M. Caicedo
W. Fofana
T. Adarabioyo
J. Hato
F. Buonanotte
R. Lavia
E. Fernandez
Estêvão
M. Guiu
J. Gittens
R. Pasveer
L. Rosa
K. Itakura
J. Sutalo
Y. Baas
J. McConnell
K. Taylor
R. Moro
O. Gloukh
M. Godts
W. Weghorst
Chelsea
4-3-3
Starting XI
12
F. Jorgensen
G
25
M. Caicedo
D
⚽ 27'
↓ 49'
29
W. Fofana
D
🎯 18'
4
T. Adarabioyo
D
↓ 46'
🟨 31'
21
J. Hato
D
40
F. Buonanotte
M
45
R. Lavia
M
↓ 66'
8
E. Fernandez
M
⚽ 45'
↓ 46'
41
Estêvão
F
⚽ 45'
🟨 56'
38
M. Guiu
F
⚽ 18'
↓ 46'
11
J. Gittens
F
🎯 27'
Substitutes
1
R. Sanchez
G
50
M. Merrick
G
3
M. Cucurella
D
7
P. Neto
F
17
Andrey Santos
M
↑ 46'
23
T. Chalobah
D
↑ 46'
24
R. James
D
32
T. George
F
⚽ 48'
↑ 46'
34
J. Acheampong
D
↑ 49'
46
R. Walsh
M
↑ 66'
49
A. Garnacho
F
76
R. Kavuma McQueen
F
Ajax
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
R. Pasveer
G
2
L. Rosa
D
↓ 84'
4
K. Itakura
D
37
J. Sutalo
D
15
Y. Baas
D
16
J. McConnell
M
↓ 79'
8
K. Taylor
M
🟥 17'
7
R. Moro
M
10
O. Gloukh
M
↓ 23'
11
M. Godts
M
↓ 84'
25
W. Weghorst
F
⚽ 33'
↓ 46'
🟨 45+5'
Substitutes
1
V. Jaros
G
12
J. Heerkens
G
3
A. Gaaei
D
↑ 84'
6
Y. Regeer
M
↑ 79'
17
O. Edvardsen
F
18
D. Klaassen
M
↑ 46'
19
D. Konadu
F
24
J. Mokio
D
↑ 23'
28
K. Fitz-Jim
M
↑ 84'
41
G. Alders
D
43
R. Bounida
F
Last matches: Chelsea
15.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
09.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Johor Darul Takzim FC
3
3
D
08.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
24.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Liverpool
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brighton
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
0
3
L
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
11.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2
5
L
Last matches: Ajax
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
H2H: Chelsea vs Ajax
22.10.25
H2H
Chelsea
Ajax
5
1
W
05.11.19
H2H
Chelsea
Ajax
4
4
D
23.10.19
H2H
Ajax
Chelsea
0
1
W
Last matches: Chelsea
15.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
08.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
31.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
West Ham
3
2
W
21.01.26
UEF
Chelsea
Pafos
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brentford
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Bournemouth
2
2
D
H2H at home: Chelsea
22.10.25
H2H
Chelsea
Ajax
5
1
W
05.11.19
H2H
Chelsea
Ajax
4
4
D
Last matches: Ajax
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Feyenoord
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
1
3
L
01.03.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
0
0
D
08.02.26
Ere
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
01.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
20.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Villarreal
2
1
W
11.01.26
Ere
Ajax
Telstar
3
2
W
20.12.25
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
10.12.25
UEF
Ajax
Qarabag
4
2
W
06.12.25
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
3
1
W
09.11.25
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
26.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Twente
3
2
W
04.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
3
3
D
H2H away: Ajax
22.10.25
H2H
Chelsea
Ajax
5
1
L
05.11.19
H2H
Chelsea
Ajax
4
4
D
Standings
UEFA Champions League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 19 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 14 | 21 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 18 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Chelsea
Home
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 16 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 9 | 15 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 15 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 10 | 14 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 11 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 9 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 26 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 28 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 29 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 30 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 31 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | -9 | 8 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 32 |
Ajax
Away
|
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 34 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | -14 | 3 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 35 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)