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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Brighton
FT
3 - 4
Aston Villa
Amex Stadium
Referee: A. Madley
Brighton
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
J. P. van Hecke · Assist: M. Wieffer
Brighton
🔄
24'
S. Tzimas ↔ J. Hinshelwood
Brighton
⚽
29'
P. Torres
Brighton
⚽
37'
O. Watkins · Assist: E. Guessand
Aston Villa
🟨
45+8'
Bart Verbruggen
Brighton
⚽
45'
O. Watkins · Assist: M. Rogers
Aston Villa
⚽
60'
A. Onana · Assist: M. Cash
Aston Villa
🔄
67'
F. Kadioglu ↔ D. Welbeck
Brighton
🔄
70'
B. Kamara ↔ Y. Tielemans
Aston Villa
🔄
70'
I. Maatsen ↔ L. Digne
Aston Villa
🟨
75'
John McGinn
Aston Villa
🔄
77'
B. Gruda ↔ C. Kostoulas
Brighton
🔄
77'
J. McGinn ↔ D. Malen
Aston Villa
🔄
78'
C. Baleba ↔ J. Veltman
Brighton
⚽
78'
D. Malen
Aston Villa
⚽
83'
J. P. van Hecke · Assist: J. Hinshelwood
Brighton
🟨
85'
Diego Gómez
Brighton
🔄
86'
E. Guessand ↔ L. Bogarde
Aston Villa
🔄
86'
O. Watkins ↔ E. Buendia
Aston Villa
🟨
90+5'
Marco Bizot
Aston Villa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aston Villa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.28
Aston Villa1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton Brighton
WWDLW
21 GF / 16 GA
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WLDWL
24 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
9
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
8
4.69
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brighton Brighton 13 matches
Aston Villa Aston Villa 18 matches
Brighton Statistic Aston Villa
6 Wins 11
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
21 Goals For 24
16 Goals Against 14
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
9 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 5
4.69 Shots On Goal 4.33
12.62 Total Shots 12.11
5 Corners 5.44
50% Ball Possession 55.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 2 times, Aston Villa won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:30 from Brighton's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Brighton wins 2, draws 4, Aston Villa wins 9
Stats
Brighton Brighton
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
10
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 6
10 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Goal 10
6 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 12
4 Shots outsidebox 2
6 Goalkeeper Saves 4
473 Total passes 362
404 Passes accurate 300
2.21 expected_goals 2.41
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Brighton
Formation
Aston Villa
B. Verbruggen
B. Verbruggen
M. Wieffer
🎯
M. Wieffer
J. P. van Hecke
⚽ 2
J. P. van Hecke
L. Dunk
L. Dunk
F. Kadioglu
↓
F. Kadioglu
C. Baleba
↓
C. Baleba
D. Gomez
D. Gomez
Y. Minteh
Y. Minteh
B. Gruda
↓
B. Gruda
M. De Cuyper
M. De Cuyper
S. Tzimas
↓
S. Tzimas
M. Bizot
M. Bizot
M. Cash
🎯
M. Cash
E. Konsa
E. Konsa
P. Torres
⚽
P. Torres
I. Maatsen
↓
I. Maatsen
B. Kamara
↓
B. Kamara
A. Onana
⚽
A. Onana
E. Guessand
🎯 ↓
E. Guessand
J. McGinn
↓
J. McGinn
M. Rogers
🎯
M. Rogers
O. Watkins
⚽ 2 ↓
O. Watkins
Brighton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
🟨 45+8'
G
27
M. Wieffer
🎯 9'
D
6
J. P. van Hecke
⚽ 9' ⚽ 83'
D
5
L. Dunk
D
24
F. Kadioglu
↓ 67'
D
17
C. Baleba
↓ 78'
M
25
D. Gomez
🟨 85'
M
11
Y. Minteh
M
8
B. Gruda
↓ 77'
M
29
M. De Cuyper
M
9
S. Tzimas
↓ 24'
F
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
18
D. Welbeck
↑ 67'
F
34
J. Veltman
↑ 78'
D
21
O. Boscagli
D
42
D. Coppola
D
13
J. Hinshelwood
🎯 83' ↑ 24'
M
19
C. Kostoulas
↑ 77'
F
49
J. Knight
M
58
N. Oriola
F
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
40
M. Bizot
🟨 90+5'
G
2
M. Cash
🎯 60'
D
4
E. Konsa
D
14
P. Torres
⚽ 29'
D
22
I. Maatsen
↓ 70'
D
44
B. Kamara
↓ 70'
M
24
A. Onana
⚽ 60'
M
29
E. Guessand
🎯 37' ↓ 86'
M
7
J. McGinn
↓ 77' 🟨 75'
M
27
M. Rogers
🎯 45'
M
11
O. Watkins
⚽ 37' ⚽ 45' ↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
60
R. Hollingshead
G
3
V. Lindelof
D
8
Y. Tielemans
↑ 70'
M
17
D. Malen
⚽ 78' ↑ 77'
F
26
L. Bogarde
↑ 86'
M
12
L. Digne
↑ 70'
D
10
E. Buendia
↑ 86'
M
19
J. Sancho
F
16
A. Garcia
D
Last matches: Brighton
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
Last matches: Aston Villa
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
H2H: Brighton vs Aston Villa
11.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
L
03.12.25
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
3
4
L
02.04.25
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
3
L
30.12.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
2
D
05.05.24
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
0
W
30.09.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
6
1
L
28.05.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
1
L
08.12.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
2
D
13.11.22
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
2
L
26.02.22
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
2
L
20.11.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
0
L
13.02.21
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
0
D
21.11.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
2
W
18.01.20
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
1
D
19.10.19
H2H
Aston Villa
Brighton
2
1
L
Last matches: Brighton
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
3
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
W
16.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
1
D
H2H at home: Brighton
03.12.25
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
3
4
L
02.04.25
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
3
L
05.05.24
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
0
W
13.11.22
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
2
L
26.02.22
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
2
L
13.02.21
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
0
D
18.01.20
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
1
D
Last matches: Aston Villa
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Aston Villa
Tottenham
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
H2H away: Aston Villa
03.12.25
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
3
4
W
02.04.25
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
3
W
05.05.24
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
0
L
13.11.22
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
2
W
26.02.22
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
2
W
13.02.21
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
0
D
18.01.20
H2H
Brighton
Aston Villa
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Arsenal
38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2
Manchester City
38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3
Manchester United
38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4
Aston Villa Away
38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5
Liverpool
38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6
Bournemouth
38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7
Sunderland
38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8
Brighton Home
38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9
Brentford
38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10
Chelsea
38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11
Fulham
38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12
Newcastle
38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13
Everton
38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds
38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15
Crystal Palace
38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16
Nottingham Forest
38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17
Tottenham
38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18
West Ham
38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19
Burnley
38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20
Wolves
38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship