AUSTRALIA VICTORIA PREMIER LEAGUE 2
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Moreland City Win 23%
Draw 5.5%
Box Hill Win 71.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moreland City1.21
Box Hill1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moreland City Moreland City
WWDLW
27 GF / 56 GA
Box Hill Box Hill
WLDWL
34 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.48
2.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
14
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moreland City Moreland City 22 matches
Box Hill Box Hill 23 matches
Moreland City Statistic Box Hill
2 Wins 10
6 Draws 6
14 Losses 7
27 Goals For 34
56 Goals Against 27
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
2.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
14 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 11
13 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Box Hill's more proactive style and Moreland City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Box Hill. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Box Hill having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Moreland City have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Box Hill carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 36 points while Moreland City sit 14 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Moreland City Analysis

Moreland City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 12 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats with a 24:51 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Box Hill Analysis

Box Hill sit 6 with 36 points after 23 league matches. The record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 34:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Moreland City won 0 times, Box Hill won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Moreland City's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Moreland City wins 0, draws 1, Box Hill wins 1
Last matches: Moreland City
08.08.26
Vic
Moreland City
Kingston City
3
5
L
01.08.26
Vic
Moreland City
Bayside Argonauts
0
1
L
25.07.26
Vic
Moreland City
Werribee City
4
4
D
18.07.26
Vic
Moreland City
Malvern
0
5
L
11.07.26
Vic
Moreland City
Springvale
0
1
L
04.07.26
Vic
Moreland City
Goulburn Valley Suns
2
5
L
26.06.26
Vic
Moreland City
Keilor Park
0
2
L
12.06.26
Vic
Moreland City
Kingston City
1
2
L
30.05.26
Vic
Moreland City
Eastern Lions
3
3
D
23.05.26
Vic
Moreland City
Altona City
1
0
W
15.05.26
Vic
Moreland City
Essendon Royals SC
1
3
L
09.05.26
Vic
Moreland City
Whittlesea United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Vic
Moreland City
Box Hill
1
3
L
24.04.26
Vic
Moreland City
Bayside Argonauts
1
4
L
18.04.26
Vic
Moreland City
Werribee City
1
3
L
11.04.26
Vic
Moreland City
Malvern
1
4
L
27.03.26
Vic
Moreland City
Springvale
0
0
D
21.03.26
Vic
Moreland City
Goulburn Valley Suns
2
5
L
13.03.26
Vic
Moreland City
Nunawading
0
0
D
28.02.26
Vic
Moreland City
Keilor Park
2
3
L
Last matches: Box Hill
07.08.26
Vic
Box Hill
Bayside Argonauts
1
0
W
31.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Keilor Park
0
1
L
24.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Eastern Lions
1
1
D
17.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Altona City
3
1
W
10.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Essendon Royals SC
2
3
L
03.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Whittlesea United
1
3
L
19.06.26
Vic
Box Hill
Kingston City
3
1
W
05.06.26
Vic
Box Hill
Werribee City
0
2
L
29.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Malvern
2
1
W
22.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Springvale
2
1
W
16.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Goulburn Valley Suns
1
2
L
09.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Nunawading
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Moreland City
3
1
W
24.04.26
Vic
Box Hill
Keilor Park
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vic
Box Hill
Eastern Lions
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vic
Box Hill
Altona City
1
0
W
27.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Essendon Royals SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Whittlesea United
0
0
D
13.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Kingston City
4
0
W
07.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Bayside Argonauts
1
1
D
H2H: Moreland City vs Box Hill
15.08.26
H2H
Moreland City
Box Hill
2
2
D
01.05.26
H2H
Box Hill
Moreland City
3
1
L
Last matches: Moreland City
08.08.26
Vic
Moreland City
Kingston City
3
5
L
25.07.26
Vic
Moreland City
Werribee City
4
4
D
11.07.26
Vic
Moreland City
Springvale
0
1
L
30.05.26
Vic
Moreland City
Eastern Lions
3
3
D
09.05.26
Vic
Moreland City
Whittlesea United
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vic
Moreland City
Bayside Argonauts
1
4
L
11.04.26
Vic
Moreland City
Malvern
1
4
L
21.03.26
Vic
Moreland City
Goulburn Valley Suns
2
5
L
28.02.26
Vic
Moreland City
Keilor Park
2
3
L
14.02.26
Vic
Moreland City
Altona City
2
2
D
16.08.25
Vic
Moreland City
Brunswick City
1
5
L
25.07.25
Vic
Moreland City
Bulleen Lions
1
0
W
21.06.25
Vic
Moreland City
Melbourne Srbija
0
3
L
07.06.25
Vic
Moreland City
Melbourne City II
2
0
W
01.06.25
Vic
Moreland City
North Sunshine Eagles
2
3
L
16.05.25
Vic
Moreland City
Bentleigh Greens
2
3
L
09.05.25
Vic
Moreland City
Manningham United Blues
1
2
L
25.04.25
Vic
Moreland City
Kingston City
2
1
W
04.04.25
Vic
Moreland City
Sunshine Georgies
1
2
L
28.03.25
Vic
Moreland City
Langwarrin
0
1
L
H2H at home: Moreland City
15.08.26
H2H
Moreland City
Box Hill
2
2
D
Last matches: Box Hill
07.08.26
Vic
Box Hill
Bayside Argonauts
1
0
W
24.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Eastern Lions
1
1
D
10.07.26
Vic
Box Hill
Essendon Royals SC
2
3
L
29.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Malvern
2
1
W
09.05.26
Vic
Box Hill
Nunawading
0
1
L
24.04.26
Vic
Box Hill
Keilor Park
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vic
Box Hill
Altona City
1
0
W
21.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Whittlesea United
0
0
D
13.03.26
Vic
Box Hill
Kingston City
4
0
W
28.02.26
Vic
Box Hill
Werribee City
3
3
D
13.02.26
Vic
Box Hill
Springvale
3
1
W
H2H away: Box Hill
15.08.26
H2H
Moreland City
Box Hill
2
2
D

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 17 2 5 61:29 32 53
W D W W W
2 24 16 4 4 54:31 23 52
W W L W W
3 24 15 2 7 60:36 24 47
W W W D W
4 24 13 5 6 42:30 12 44
W L W W D
5 24 12 2 10 33:35 -2 38
D L W L W
6 24 10 7 7 36:29 7 37
D W L D W
7 24 8 10 6 40:28 12 34
D W D D D
8 24 8 5 11 29:44 -15 29
L W L L W
9 24 6 8 10 37:38 -1 26
L D L D D
10 24 8 2 14 32:52 -20 26
W W L L L
11 23 7 4 12 21:39 -18 25
L L L W L
12 24 6 6 12 35:43 -8 24
L W D L L
13 24 3 8 13 21:38 -17 17
L L D L L
14 23 2 7 14 29:58 -29 13
D L L D L