Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
84.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aston Villa
49 matches
Tottenham
46 matches
| Aston Villa | Statistic | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wins | 14 |
| 7 | Draws | 13 |
| 13 | Losses | 19 |
| 74 | Goals For | 68 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 71 |
| 1.51 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.54 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 30 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.57 | Shots On Goal | 4.28 |
| 12.43 | Total Shots | 11.65 |
| 5.16 | Corners | 5.02 |
| 53.8% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Aston Villa's more proactive style and Tottenham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tottenham. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Aston Villa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 58 points compared to Tottenham in 18 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Placed 5 with 58 points from 34 outings, Aston Villa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, while the 47:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on O. Watkins (11 goals), M. Rogers (9 goals), Emiliano Buendía (5 goals), with creative support from M. Rogers (5 assists), Lucas Digne (5 assists), Y. Tielemans (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Tottenham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 34 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 43:53 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Richarlison (9 goals), Cristian Romero (4 goals), J. Palhinha (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kudus (5 assists), X. Simons (5 assists), Richarlison (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 8 times, Tottenham won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:27 from Aston Villa's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Aston Villa
1
5
1
3
3
2
Lineups
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Burnley
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Fulham
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Bologna
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Bologna
Aston Villa
Elche
Aston Villa
West Ham
Aston Villa
Lille
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Lille
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Wolves
Aston Villa
Leeds
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Tottenham
Everton
Tottenham
Chelsea
Tottenham
Leeds
Tottenham
Wolves
Tottenham
Brighton
Tottenham
Sunderland
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Liverpool
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
Fulham
Tottenham
Arsenal
Tottenham
Newcastle
Tottenham
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester City
Tottenham
Eintracht Frankfurt
Tottenham
Burnley
Tottenham
Borussia Dortmund
Tottenham
West Ham
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Bologna
Aston Villa
Elche
Aston Villa
West Ham
Aston Villa
Lille
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Leeds
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Brighton
Aston Villa
Brentford
Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg
Aston Villa
Everton
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Wolves
Aston Villa
BSC Young Boys
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Chelsea
Tottenham
Wolves
Tottenham
Sunderland
Tottenham
Liverpool
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Fulham
Tottenham
Manchester United
Tottenham
Eintracht Frankfurt
Tottenham
Burnley
Tottenham
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Brentford
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Newcastle
Tottenham
Paris Saint Germain
Tottenham
Arsenal
Tottenham
Everton
Tottenham
Monaco
Tottenham
Leeds
Tottenham
Bodo/Glimt
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aston Villa
Home
|
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 |
Tottenham
Away
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|