🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
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Soldier Field
Referee: S. Boiko

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.1%
1.25
BTTS Yes
84.7%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.8%
1.47
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.29
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Chicago Fire Win 43%
Draw 13.9%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 43.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chicago Fire1.51
Vancouver Whitecaps1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
WWDLW
45 GF / 33 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WLDWL
45 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
16
BTTS Yes
11
18
Over 2.5
12
4.95
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 25 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 27 matches
Chicago Fire Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Wins 13
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 9
45 Goals For 45
33 Goals Against 29
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
16 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 20
18 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 8
4.95 Shots On Goal 6
13.74 Total Shots 17.17
4.26 Corners 6.09
51% Ball Possession 58.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vancouver Whitecaps. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Chicago Fire Analysis

Chicago Fire approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 26 points after 14 outings. The return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 27:16, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Cuypers (13 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), M. Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (4 assists), J. Bamba (2 assists), M. Haile-Selassie (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. Although they are without C. Cassano, L. Barroso, J. Bamba, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Placed 1 with 32 points from 14 outings, Vancouver Whitecaps continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 34:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. White (10 goals), S. Berhalter (6 goals), T. Muller (4 goals), with creative support from S. Berhalter (4 assists), B. White (2 assists), T. Muller (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with C. Sabaly, E. Sabbi, B. Halbouni unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire won 3 times, Vancouver Whitecaps won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Chicago Fire's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Chicago Fire 3, Vancouver Whitecaps 6
H2H summary: Chicago Fire wins 3, draws 1, Vancouver Whitecaps wins 5
Last matches: Chicago Fire
19.08.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Orlando City SC
2
1
W
16.08.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
2
1
W
25.07.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
1
3
L
22.07.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
2
3
L
24.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
3
1
W
09.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
03.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
5
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
12.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
28.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
3
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
3
4
L
Last matches: Vancouver Whitecaps
20.08.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
17.08.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
01.08.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
22.07.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
24.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego
4
2
W
17.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
14.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids
3
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
11.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
2
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
22.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
19.03.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
15.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
6
0
W
13.03.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
0
3
L
08.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC
3
0
W
H2H: Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps
23.03.25
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Chicago Fire
1
3
W
31.08.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
24.07.22
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Chicago Fire
1
3
W
10.04.21
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Chicago Fire
3
2
L
23.07.20
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
13.04.19
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
08.07.18
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Chicago Fire
3
2
L
01.07.17
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
0
W
12.05.16
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Chicago Fire
2
1
L
Last matches: Chicago Fire
16.08.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Charlotte
2
1
W
24.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
03.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
5
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
1
2
L
28.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
3
4
L
H2H at home: Chicago Fire
31.08.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
23.07.20
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
13.04.19
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
01.07.17
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
0
W
Last matches: Vancouver Whitecaps
17.08.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
26.07.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
22.07.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
24.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego
4
2
W
17.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
14.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
19.02.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
CS Cartagines
0
0
D
27.01.26
Fri
Vancouver Whitecaps
Polessya
0
2
L
H2H away: Vancouver Whitecaps
31.08.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
W
23.07.20
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
W
13.04.19
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
01.07.17
H2H
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
0
L
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.56
Draw 3.91
Home 2.59
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.01
Draw 2.63
Home 3.06
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.47
Over 2.75 1.56
Over 3.0 1.70
Over 3.25 1.93
Over 3.5 2.15
Over 3.75 2.45
Over 4.5 3.63
Over 5.5 6.96
Under 1.5 6.08
Under 2.5 2.79
Under 2.75 2.52
Under 3.0 2.24
Under 3.25 1.95
Under 3.5 1.76
Under 3.75 1.59
Under 4.5 1.31
Under 5.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 3.90
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.50
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.62
Draw 2.75
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.48
Draw 3.50
Home 2.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 2.43
Home 2.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.63
Draw 2.90
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.5 1.47
Over 2.75 1.58
Over 3.0 1.73
Over 3.25 1.95
Over 3.5 2.18
Over 3.75 2.50
Over 4.0 3.10
Over 4.5 3.80
Over 5.5 7.00
Under 1.5 5.60
Under 2.5 2.60
Under 2.75 2.32
Under 3.0 2.05
Under 3.25 1.81
Under 3.5 1.65
Under 3.75 1.50
Under 4.0 1.35
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.08

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 4 2 40:15 25 46
W W D L W
2 20 11 6 3 48:38 10 39
D L D W W
3 19 11 2 6 36:25 11 35
W W W L L
4 20 10 3 7 32:25 7 33
W L L D W
5 20 8 6 6 48:46 2 30
W D W L W
6 20 8 5 7 35:31 4 29
D W L W D
7 20 7 5 8 34:29 5 26
L L D W W
8 20 7 4 9 30:42 -12 25
L L W L L
9 20 5 9 6 27:33 -6 24
L D D W D
10 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L D L W W
11 20 4 9 7 29:36 -7 21
D W D L D
12 20 5 5 10 28:33 -5 20
L L D W L
13 20 5 5 10 30:37 -7 20
D W W W W
14 20 5 5 10 27:37 -10 20
W D D L L
15 20 5 3 12 23:35 -12 18
W W L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Chicago Fire 3 missing
-
L. Barroso
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
J. Bamba
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
A. Franco
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Vancouver Whitecaps 6 missing
-
C. Sabaly
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
S. Berhalter
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
R. Priso
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
E. Sabbi
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
B. Halbouni
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT