ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Villa Park
Referee: S. Hooper
Aston Villa
Match Timeline
Nottingham Forest
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
O. Watkins · Assist: M. Rogers
Aston Villa
49'
J. McGinn · Assist: M. Cash
Aston Villa
61'
M. Gibbs-White · Assist: D. Bakwa
Nottingham Forest
🟨
65'
Dilane Bakwa
Nottingham Forest
🔄
69'
I. Maatsen ↔ L. Digne
Aston Villa
🔄
69'
E. Buendia ↔ J. Sancho
Aston Villa
🔄
69'
D. Bakwa ↔ J. McAtee
Nottingham Forest
🔄
69'
O. Aina ↔ N. Savona
Nottingham Forest
73'
J. McGinn · Assist: Y. Tielemans
Aston Villa
🔄
78'
John Victor ↔ M. Sels
Nottingham Forest
🔄
83'
O. Watkins ↔ D. Malen
Aston Villa
🔄
83'
J. McGinn ↔ L. Bogarde
Aston Villa
🔄
83'
N. Dominguez ↔ Douglas Luiz
Nottingham Forest
🔄
83'
Igor Jesus ↔ A. Kalimuendo
Nottingham Forest
🟨
89'
James McAtee
Nottingham Forest
🟨
90+4'
Lamare Bogarde
Aston Villa
🔄
90'
M. Cash ↔ A. Garcia
Aston Villa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nottingham Forest Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.54
Nottingham Forest1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WWDLW
40 GF / 27 GA
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
WLDWL
29 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
14
BTTS Yes
9
15
Over 2.5
14
4.68
Shots on Goal
4.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aston Villa Aston Villa 25 matches
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 25 matches
Aston Villa Statistic Nottingham Forest
17 Wins 8
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 12
40 Goals For 29
27 Goals Against 36
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
14 BTTS Yes 9
19 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 11
4.68 Shots On Goal 4.64
11.8 Total Shots 13.32
5.16 Corners 5.48
53.6% Ball Possession 52.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 8 times, Nottingham Forest won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:18 from Aston Villa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Nottingham Forest 4-5-1
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 8, draws 3, Nottingham Forest wins 3
Stats
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 20
1 Offsides 4
73% Ball Possession 27%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
645 Total passes 239
579 Passes accurate 170
1.59 expected_goals 0.89
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Aston Villa
Formation
Nottingham Forest
E. Martinez
E. Martinez
M. Cash
🎯
M. Cash
E. Konsa
E. Konsa
V. Lindelof
V. Lindelof
I. Maatsen
I. Maatsen
B. Kamara
B. Kamara
Y. Tielemans
🎯
Y. Tielemans
J. McGinn
⚽ 2
J. McGinn
M. Rogers
🎯
M. Rogers
E. Buendia
E. Buendia
O. Watkins
O. Watkins
John Victor
John Victor
O. Aina
O. Aina
N. Milenkovic
N. Milenkovic
Murillo
Murillo
N. Williams
N. Williams
O. Hutchinson
O. Hutchinson
M. Gibbs-White
M. Gibbs-White
E. Anderson
E. Anderson
N. Dominguez
N. Dominguez
D. Bakwa
🎯
D. Bakwa
Igor Jesus
Igor Jesus
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
E. Martinez
G
2
M. Cash
🎯 49' ↓ 90'
D
4
E. Konsa
D
3
V. Lindelof
D
22
I. Maatsen
↓ 69'
D
44
B. Kamara
M
8
Y. Tielemans
🎯 73'
M
7
J. McGinn
⚽ 49' ⚽ 73' ↓ 83'
M
27
M. Rogers
🎯 45'
M
10
E. Buendia
↓ 69'
M
11
O. Watkins
⚽ 45' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
40
M. Bizot
G
17
D. Malen
↑ 83'
F
26
L. Bogarde
↑ 83' 🟨 90+4'
M
12
L. Digne
↑ 69'
D
19
J. Sancho
↑ 69'
F
20
J. Jimoh-Aloba
M
53
G. Hemmings
M
16
A. Garcia
↑ 90'
D
71
T. Carroll
Nottingham Forest 4-5-1
Starting XI
13
John Victor
↓ 78'
G
34
O. Aina
↓ 69'
D
31
N. Milenkovic
D
5
Murillo
D
3
N. Williams
D
21
O. Hutchinson
M
10
M. Gibbs-White
⚽ 61'
M
8
E. Anderson
M
16
N. Dominguez
↓ 83'
M
29
D. Bakwa
🎯 61' ↓ 69' 🟨 65'
M
19
Igor Jesus
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
26
M. Sels
↑ 78'
G
9
T. Awoniyi
F
12
Douglas Luiz
↑ 83'
M
24
J. McAtee
↑ 69' 🟨 89'
M
35
O. Zinchenko
D
15
A. Kalimuendo
↑ 83'
F
4
Morato
D
37
N. Savona
↑ 69'
D
44
Z. Abbott
D
Last matches: Aston Villa
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
Last matches: Nottingham Forest
12.08.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Bayer Leverkusen
2
1
W
08.08.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Barcelona
0
1
L
08.08.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Udinese
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Sporting CP
1
4
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Portimonense
2
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Vitória SC
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Blackburn
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Notts County
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
2
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
0
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
3
1
W
30.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
5
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
4
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
3
0
W
H2H: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
07.05.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
30.04.26
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
0
L
12.04.26
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
1
D
03.01.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
14.12.24
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
2
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
2
W
05.11.23
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
2
0
L
08.04.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
10.10.22
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
1
D
28.07.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
13.03.19
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
3
W
28.11.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
5
5
D
13.01.18
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
0
1
W
23.09.17
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brentford
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg
3
2
W
18.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Everton
0
1
L
21.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Aston Villa
BSC Young Boys
2
1
W
H2H at home: Aston Villa
07.05.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.01.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
24.02.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
2
W
08.04.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
28.07.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
28.11.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
5
5
D
23.09.17
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
Last matches: Nottingham Forest
08.08.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Barcelona
0
1
L
08.08.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Udinese
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Sporting CP
1
4
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Portimonense
2
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Vitória SC
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Notts County
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
2
3
L
07.05.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
0
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
5
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
1
3
L
25.01.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
2
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
SC Braga
0
1
L
09.01.26
FA
Nottingham Forest
Wrexham
3
3
D
H2H away: Nottingham Forest
07.05.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
L
03.01.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
2
L
08.04.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
0
L
28.07.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
28.11.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
5
5
D
23.09.17
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship