Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.6
Newcastle1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa
WWDLW
7 GF / 4 GA
Newcastle
WLDWL
4 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
2
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aston Villa
3 matches
Newcastle
2 matches
| Aston Villa | Statistic | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 7 | Goals For | 4 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 1 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.5 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 5 times, Newcastle won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:25 from Aston Villa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Newcastle 3-5-2
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 5, draws 4, Newcastle wins 6
Last matches: Aston Villa
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
Last matches: Newcastle
25.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Gateshead
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Darlington 1883
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
3
L
04.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
2
3
L
24.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
3
2
W
21.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
6
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
1
W
H2H: Aston Villa vs Newcastle
14.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
25.01.26
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0
2
W
16.08.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
4
1
W
26.12.24
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
0
L
30.01.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
12.08.23
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
5
1
L
23.07.23
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
3
D
15.04.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
3
0
W
29.10.22
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
4
0
L
13.02.22
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
0
L
21.08.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
12.03.21
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
1
D
23.01.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
24.06.20
H2H
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
1
D
Last matches: Aston Villa
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brentford
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg
3
2
W
18.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Everton
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Aston Villa
BSC Young Boys
2
1
W
H2H at home: Aston Villa
14.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
16.08.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
4
1
W
30.01.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
15.04.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
3
0
W
21.08.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
23.01.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
Last matches: Newcastle
25.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Gateshead
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
6
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
1
W
10.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Tottenham
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Liverpool
1
4
L
28.01.26
UEF
Newcastle
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
18.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Wolves
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Burnley
3
1
W
26.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
0
1
L
14.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
0
1
L
10.12.25
UEF
Newcastle
Bayer Leverkusen
2
2
D
29.11.25
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
4
1
W
25.11.25
UEF
Newcastle
Marseille
1
2
L
H2H away: Newcastle
14.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
W
16.08.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
4
1
L
30.01.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
W
15.04.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
3
0
L
21.08.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
L
23.01.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 |
Aston Villa
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 |
Newcastle
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Relegation