Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
77.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
West Ham
Leeds
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
West Ham
41 matches
Leeds
42 matches
| West Ham | Statistic | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 13 |
| 11 | Draws | 16 |
| 19 | Losses | 13 |
| 50 | Goals For | 58 |
| 70 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3.8 | Shots On Goal | 4.26 |
| 11.34 | Total Shots | 13.14 |
| 5.32 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 44.2% | Ball Possession | 46% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with West Ham expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Leeds in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leeds having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Leeds. West Ham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
West Ham sit 18 with 36 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 43:65, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through J. Bowen (8 goals), C. Wilson (6 goals), C. Summerville (5 goals), with creative support from J. Bowen (10 assists), M. Diouf (5 assists), M. Fernandes (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Leeds approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 47 points from 37 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 14 draws, and 12 defeats with a 49:53 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Calvert-Lewin (14 goals), Noah Okafor (8 goals), L. Nmecha (6 goals), with creative support from Brenden Aaronson (5 assists), Anton Stach (3 assists), Ilia Gruev (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, West Ham won 6 times, Leeds won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from West Ham's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.
West Ham
9
3
4
6
3
4
Lineups
West Ham
Newcastle
West Ham
Arsenal
West Ham
Brentford
West Ham
Everton
West Ham
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Wolves
West Ham
Leeds
West Ham
Aston Villa
West Ham
Manchester City
West Ham
Brentford
West Ham
Fulham
West Ham
Liverpool
West Ham
Bournemouth
West Ham
Burton Albion
West Ham
Manchester United
West Ham
Burnley
West Ham
Chelsea
West Ham
Sunderland
West Ham
Tottenham
West Ham
QPR
Leeds
Brighton
Leeds
Tottenham
Leeds
Burnley
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Bournemouth
Leeds
Wolves
Leeds
Manchester United
Leeds
West Ham
Leeds
Brentford
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Norwich
Leeds
Sunderland
Leeds
Manchester City
Leeds
Aston Villa
Leeds
Birmingham
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
Arsenal
Leeds
Everton
Leeds
Fulham
West Ham
Arsenal
West Ham
Everton
West Ham
Wolves
West Ham
Leeds
West Ham
Manchester City
West Ham
Brentford
West Ham
Bournemouth
West Ham
Manchester United
West Ham
Sunderland
West Ham
QPR
West Ham
Nottingham Forest
West Ham
Brighton
West Ham
Fulham
West Ham
Aston Villa
West Ham
Liverpool
West Ham
Burnley
West Ham
Newcastle
West Ham
Brentford
West Ham
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Tottenham
Leeds
Tottenham
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Bournemouth
Leeds
Manchester United
Leeds
West Ham
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Aston Villa
Leeds
Birmingham
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Everton
Leeds
Derby
Leeds
Newcastle
Leeds
Liverpool
Leeds
Sunderland
Leeds
Brentford
Leeds
Manchester City
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
Brighton
Leeds
Burnley
Leeds
Wolves
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Leeds
Away
|
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 |
West Ham
Home
|
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|