Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
76.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Sunderland
Chelsea
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sunderland
40 matches
Chelsea
53 matches
| Sunderland | Statistic | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 24 |
| 13 | Draws | 11 |
| 13 | Losses | 18 |
| 42 | Goals For | 97 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 72 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 31 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 44 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 36 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 21 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 4.98 |
| 10.68 | Total Shots | 13.94 |
| 3.83 | Corners | 5.98 |
| 45.9% | Ball Possession | 58% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Chelsea's more proactive style and Sunderland's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Chelsea arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chelsea.
From their first 37 matches, Sunderland have collected 51 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 40:47 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Brobbey (7 goals), W. Isidor (6 goals), E. Le Fee (5 goals), with creative support from E. Le Fee (6 assists), Granit Xhaka (6 assists), N. Mukiele (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Chelsea sit 8 with 52 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 57:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Joao Pedro (15 goals), E. Fernandez (10 goals), C. Palmer (9 goals), with creative support from Joao Pedro (5 assists), P. Neto (5 assists), Reece James (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sunderland won 5 times, Chelsea won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:30 from Sunderland's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Sunderland
6
3
8
3
7
2
Lineups
Sunderland
York
Sunderland
Everton
Sunderland
Manchester United
Sunderland
Wolves
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Tottenham
Sunderland
Newcastle
Sunderland
Brighton
Sunderland
Port Vale
Sunderland
Leeds
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Fulham
Sunderland
Oxford United
Sunderland
Liverpool
Sunderland
Arsenal
Sunderland
Burnley
Sunderland
West Ham
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
Sunderland
Everton
Chelsea
Tottenham
Chelsea
Manchester City
Chelsea
Liverpool
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Brighton
Chelsea
Manchester United
Chelsea
Manchester City
Chelsea
Port Vale
Chelsea
Everton
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Newcastle
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Wrexham
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Arsenal
Chelsea
Burnley
Chelsea
Hull City
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Wolves
Sunderland
Manchester United
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
Tottenham
Sunderland
Brighton
Sunderland
Fulham
Sunderland
Liverpool
Sunderland
Burnley
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
Sunderland
Manchester City
Sunderland
Leeds
Sunderland
Newcastle
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Arsenal
Sunderland
Everton
Sunderland
Wolves
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Brentford
Sunderland
West Ham
Chelsea
Liverpool
Chelsea
Brighton
Chelsea
Everton
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Wrexham
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Arsenal
Chelsea
Hull City
Chelsea
Wolves
Chelsea
Napoli
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Charlton
Chelsea
Fulham
Chelsea
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Chelsea
Atalanta
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Burnley
Chelsea
Qarabag
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Sunderland
Home
|
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Chelsea
Away
|
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|