Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Bayern München
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bayern München Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.73
Bayern München2.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid
WWDLW
98 GF / 47 GA
Bayern München
WLDWL
134 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
2.23
Average Goals Scored
3.44
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
26
BTTS Yes
27
30
Over 2.5
37
6.89
Shots on Goal
8.41
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Real Madrid
44 matches
Bayern München
39 matches
| Real Madrid | Statistic | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Wins | 33 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 2 |
| 98 | Goals For | 134 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 2.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.44 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.97 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 39 |
| 30 | Over 2.5 | 37 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 28 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 6.89 | Shots On Goal | 8.41 |
| 18.09 | Total Shots | 19 |
| 6.41 | Corners | 5.87 |
| 58.9% | Ball Possession | 64.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 8 times, Bayern München won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:22 from Real Madrid's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-4-2 / Bayern München 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Real Madrid 3, Bayern München 4
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 8, draws 2, Bayern München wins 4
Stats
Real Madrid
Bayern München
Shots on Goal
9
9
Shots on Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
3
3
Blocked Shots
6
6
Lineups
Real Madrid
Formation
Bayern München
A. Lunin
T. Alexander-Arnold
A. Rudiger
D. Huijsen
A. Carreras
F. Valverde
T. Pitarch
A. Tchouameni
A. Guler
K. Mbappe
Vinicius Junior
M. Neuer
J. Stanisic
D. Upamecano
J. Tah
K. Laimer
A. Pavlovic
J. Kimmich
M. Olise
S. Gnabry
L. Diaz
H. Kane
Real Madrid
4-4-2
Starting XI
13
A. Lunin
G
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
🎯 74'
22
A. Rudiger
D
24
D. Huijsen
D
↓ 62'
18
A. Carreras
D
8
F. Valverde
M
45
T. Pitarch
M
↓ 62'
14
A. Tchouameni
M
🟨 37'
15
A. Guler
M
↓ 71'
10
K. Mbappe
F
⚽ 74'
7
Vinicius Junior
F
Substitutes
26
Fran
G
4
D. Alaba
D
2
D. Carvajal
D
3
Eder Militao
D
↑ 62'
6
E. Camavinga
M
30
F. Mastantuono
F
19
D. Ceballos
M
21
B. Diaz
M
↑ 71'
20
F. Garcia
D
5
J. Bellingham
M
↑ 62'
17
R. Asencio
D
16
G. Garcia
F
Bayern München
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Neuer
G
🟨 82'
44
J. Stanisic
D
2
D. Upamecano
D
4
J. Tah
D
🟨 70'
27
K. Laimer
D
↓ 69'
45
A. Pavlovic
M
↓ 90+3'
6
J. Kimmich
M
17
M. Olise
M
🎯 46'
7
S. Gnabry
M
🎯 41'
↓ 69'
14
L. Diaz
M
⚽ 41'
↓ 90+3'
🟨 77'
9
H. Kane
F
⚽ 46'
Substitutes
37
L. Prescott
G
40
J. Urbig
G
8
L. Goretzka
M
↑ 90+3'
22
R. Guerreiro
D
19
A. Davies
D
↑ 69'
11
N. Jackson
F
20
T. Bischof
M
↑ 90+3'
42
L. Karl
M
3
Kim Min-Jae
D
21
H. Ito
D
10
J. Musiala
M
↑ 69'
🟨 86'
Last matches: Real Madrid
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
06.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
21.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Osasuna
1
2
L
17.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
1
0
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
Last matches: Bayern München
16.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
W
09.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
06.05.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
28.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
4
5
L
25.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
4
3
W
19.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
4
2
W
15.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
W
11.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
5
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
3
2
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
4
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
4
1
W
14.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
6
1
W
06.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
1
W
28.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
3
2
W
21.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
14.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Werder Bremen
3
0
W
08.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
1899 Hoffenheim
5
1
W
31.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
Hamburger SV
2
2
D
H2H: Real Madrid vs Bayern München
15.04.26
H2H
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
L
07.04.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
08.05.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
2
1
W
30.04.24
H2H
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
2
2
D
21.07.19
H2H
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
3
1
L
01.05.18
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
2
2
D
25.04.18
H2H
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
1
2
W
18.04.17
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
4
2
W
12.04.17
H2H
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
1
2
W
03.08.16
H2H
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
0
1
W
29.04.14
H2H
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
0
4
W
23.04.14
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
1
0
W
25.04.12
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
4
2
W
17.04.12
H2H
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
2
1
L
Last matches: Real Madrid
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
01.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Monaco
6
1
W
17.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Levante
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
5
1
W
20.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
2
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
01.11.25
La
Real Madrid
Valencia
4
0
W
26.10.25
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
2
1
W
22.10.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Juventus
1
0
W
H2H at home: Real Madrid
07.04.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
08.05.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
2
1
W
01.05.18
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
2
2
D
18.04.17
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
4
2
W
23.04.14
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
1
0
W
25.04.12
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
4
2
W
Last matches: Bayern München
09.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
28.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
4
5
L
25.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
4
3
W
11.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
5
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
3
2
W
14.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
6
1
W
28.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
3
2
W
14.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Werder Bremen
3
0
W
31.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
Hamburger SV
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Bayern München
PSV Eindhoven
2
1
W
17.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
5
1
W
14.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
3
1
W
06.01.26
Fri
Bayern München
Red Bull Salzburg
5
0
W
21.12.25
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
4
0
W
06.12.25
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
5
0
W
26.11.25
UEF
Bayern München
Arsenal
1
3
L
08.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
2
2
D
04.11.25
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
25.10.25
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
0
W
H2H away: Bayern München
07.04.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
W
Standings
UEFA Champions League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 19 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Bayern München
Away
|
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 14 | 21 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 18 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 16 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Real Madrid
Home
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 9 | 15 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 15 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 10 | 14 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 11 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 9 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 26 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 28 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 29 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 30 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 31 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | -9 | 8 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 32 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 34 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | -14 | 3 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 35 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
Missing Players
Real Madrid
3 missing
-
T. Courtois
OUT
Missing Fixture
Thigh Injury
-
Rodrygo
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
F. Mendy
OUT
Missing Fixture
Hamstring Injury
Bayern München
4 missing
-
C. Kiala
OUT
Missing Fixture
Ankle Injury
-
W. Mike
OUT
Missing Fixture
Hip Injury
-
S. Ulreich
OUT
Missing Fixture
Muscle Injury
-
B. Ndiaye
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive