Newcastle
Match Timeline
Manchester United
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.62
Manchester United1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle
WWDLW
71 GF / 55 GA
Manchester United
WLDWL
51 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
26
BTTS Yes
21
28
Over 2.5
17
5.3
Shots on Goal
5.86
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newcastle
40 matches
Manchester United
29 matches
| Newcastle | Statistic | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 14 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 14 | Losses | 6 |
| 71 | Goals For | 51 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.3 | Shots On Goal | 5.86 |
| 13.85 | Total Shots | 16.1 |
| 6.48 | Corners | 4.48 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 53.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 6 times, Manchester United won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Newcastle's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-3-3 / Manchester United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 6, draws 2, Manchester United wins 7
Stats
Newcastle
Manchester United
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
1
1
Blocked Shots
5
5
Lineups
Newcastle
Formation
Manchester United
A. Ramsdale
K. Trippier
M. Thiaw
D. Burn
L. Hall
J. Ramsey
S. Tonali
Joelinton
A. Elanga
A. Gordon
H. Barnes
S. Lammens
N. Mazraoui
L. Yoro
H. Maguire
L. Shaw
Casemiro
K. Mainoo
B. Mbeumo
B. Fernandes
M. Cunha
B. Sesko
Newcastle
4-3-3
Starting XI
32
A. Ramsdale
G
2
K. Trippier
D
🎯 90'
🟨 80'
12
M. Thiaw
D
33
D. Burn
D
3
L. Hall
D
41
J. Ramsey
M
🟨 26'
🟨 45+1'
🟥 45+1'
8
S. Tonali
M
↓ 90+7'
7
Joelinton
M
🟨 38'
20
A. Elanga
F
↓ 84'
10
A. Gordon
F
⚽ 45'
↓ 85'
11
H. Barnes
F
↓ 46'
Substitutes
1
N. Pope
G
28
J. Willock
M
↑ 46'
9
Y. Wissa
F
4
S. Botman
D
↑ 90+7'
61
L. Shahar
D
23
J. Murphy
M
↑ 84'
18
W. Osula
F
⚽ 90'
↑ 85'
37
A. Murphy
D
62
S. Neave
F
Manchester United
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
S. Lammens
G
3
N. Mazraoui
D
↓ 85'
🟨 64'
15
L. Yoro
D
5
H. Maguire
D
23
L. Shaw
D
↓ 61'
🟨 39'
18
Casemiro
M
⚽ 45'
↓ 61'
37
K. Mainoo
M
↓ 76'
19
B. Mbeumo
M
↓ 77'
🟨 37'
8
B. Fernandes
M
🎯 45'
10
M. Cunha
M
30
B. Sesko
F
Substitutes
1
A. Bayindir
G
2
D. Dalot
D
↑ 61'
11
J. Zirkzee
F
↑ 77'
72
G. Kukonki
D
12
T. Malacia
D
↑ 85'
25
M. Ugarte
M
↑ 61'
16
A. Diallo
F
↑ 76'
39
T. Fletcher
M
26
A. Heaven
D
Last matches: Newcastle
12.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Everton
1
3
L
08.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Valencia
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Bristol City
1
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Gateshead
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Darlington 1883
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
3
L
28.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
2
3
L
24.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
3
2
W
21.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
2
L
Last matches: Manchester United
12.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Leeds
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Rosenborg
5
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Wrexham
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Fulham
3
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Arsenal
3
2
W
H2H: Newcastle vs Manchester United
04.03.26
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
W
26.12.25
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
4
1
W
30.12.24
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
2
W
15.05.24
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
3
2
L
02.12.23
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
0
W
01.11.23
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
3
W
02.04.23
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
0
W
26.02.23
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
2
0
L
16.10.22
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
0
D
27.12.21
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
1
D
11.09.21
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
4
1
L
21.02.21
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
3
1
L
17.10.20
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
4
L
26.12.19
H2H
Manchester United
Newcastle
4
1
L
Last matches: Newcastle
12.08.26
Fri
Newcastle
Everton
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Newcastle
Darlington 1883
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
2
L
10.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
3
L
28.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
2
3
L
24.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
3
2
W
07.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brentford
2
3
L
25.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0
2
L
21.01.26
UEF
Newcastle
PSV Eindhoven
3
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Newcastle
Bournemouth
2
2
D
07.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Leeds
4
3
W
04.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Burnley
2
1
W
02.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Tottenham
2
2
D
22.11.25
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
2
1
W
H2H at home: Newcastle
04.03.26
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
W
13.04.25
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
4
1
W
02.12.23
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
0
W
02.04.23
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
0
W
27.12.21
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
1
D
17.10.20
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
4
L
Last matches: Manchester United
08.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Rosenborg
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
2
2
D
23.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Arsenal
3
2
W
07.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Burnley
2
2
D
04.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
1
D
21.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
1
2
L
08.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Wolves
4
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
19.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
2
1
W
27.09.25
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
1
3
L
14.09.25
Pre
Manchester United
Manchester City
0
3
L
24.08.25
Pre
Manchester United
Fulham
1
1
D
H2H away: Manchester United
04.03.26
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
L
13.04.25
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
4
1
L
02.12.23
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
0
L
02.04.23
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
0
L
27.12.21
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
1
D
17.10.20
H2H
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
4
W
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Manchester United
Away
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Newcastle
Home
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship