Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester United
37 matches
Nottingham Forest
53 matches
| Manchester United | Statistic | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 19 |
| 11 | Draws | 14 |
| 8 | Losses | 20 |
| 64 | Goals For | 72 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 66 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 41 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 29 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 18 |
| 5.65 | Shots On Goal | 4.75 |
| 15.54 | Total Shots | 13.79 |
| 4.78 | Corners | 5.34 |
| 52.2% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Manchester United's more proactive style and Nottingham Forest's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Nottingham Forest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manchester United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nottingham Forest in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nottingham Forest having the stronger overall control. Manchester United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 65 points compared to Nottingham Forest in 16 on 43, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Operating from 3 place with 65 points from 36 games, Manchester United bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 18 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 63:48, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Sesko (11 goals), B. Mbeumo (9 goals), Casemiro (9 goals), with creative support from Bruno Fernandes (19 assists), B. Mbeumo (3 assists), Patrick Dorgu (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Nottingham Forest sit 16 with 43 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 45:47, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Gibbs-White (13 goals), Igor Jesus (6 goals), E. Anderson (4 goals), with creative support from M. Gibbs-White (4 assists), Igor Jesus (4 assists), C. Hudson-Odoi (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 7 times, Nottingham Forest won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:12 from Manchester United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.09 goals per game.
Manchester United
8
4
9
4
12
3
Lineups
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Sunderland
Manchester United
Liverpool
Manchester United
Brentford
Manchester United
Chelsea
Manchester United
Leeds
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Newcastle
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Everton
Manchester United
West Ham
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester United
Fulham
Manchester United
Arsenal
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Burnley
Manchester United
Leeds
Manchester United
Wolves
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Wolves
Manchester United
Liverpool
Manchester United
Brentford
Manchester United
Leeds
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester United
Fulham
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Wolves
Manchester United
Newcastle
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Manchester United
West Ham
Manchester United
Everton
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Sunderland
Manchester United
Chelsea
Manchester United
Burnley
Manchester United
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
SC Braga
Nottingham Forest
Wrexham
Nottingham Forest
West Ham
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
Nottingham Forest
Utrecht
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Nottingham Forest
Wolves
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Manchester United
Home
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
Away
|
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|