Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
80.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Manchester United
Liverpool
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester United
35 matches
Liverpool
50 matches
| Manchester United | Statistic | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 27 |
| 10 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 16 |
| 61 | Goals For | 91 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 63 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 40 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 31 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 5.77 | Shots On Goal | 5.4 |
| 15.6 | Total Shots | 16.44 |
| 4.77 | Corners | 6.2 |
| 52.8% | Ball Possession | 57.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Liverpool. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Manchester United come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 61 points after 34 matches. With 17 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 60:46, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Sesko (10 goals), B. Mbeumo (9 goals), Casemiro (9 goals), with creative support from Bruno Fernandes (19 assists), B. Mbeumo (3 assists), Patrick Dorgu (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Operating from 4 place with 58 points from 34 games, Liverpool bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 17 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with a 57:44 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on H. Ekitike (11 goals), M. Salah (7 goals), C. Gakpo (6 goals), with creative support from M. Salah (6 assists), C. Gakpo (5 assists), H. Ekitike (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 6 times, Liverpool won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:39 from Manchester United's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.
Manchester United
6
5
6
5
6
3
Lineups
Manchester United
Rosenborg
Manchester United
Wrexham
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Sunderland
Manchester United
Brentford
Manchester United
Chelsea
Manchester United
Leeds
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Newcastle
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Everton
Manchester United
West Ham
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester United
Fulham
Manchester United
Arsenal
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Burnley
Liverpool
Brentford
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Chelsea
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Everton
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Fulham
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Tottenham
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
West Ham
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Sunderland
Liverpool
Manchester City
Manchester United
Wrexham
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Brentford
Manchester United
Leeds
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester United
Fulham
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Wolves
Manchester United
Newcastle
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Manchester United
West Ham
Manchester United
Everton
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Sunderland
Manchester United
Chelsea
Manchester United
Burnley
Manchester United
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Everton
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Sunderland
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Marseille
Liverpool
Arsenal
Liverpool
Fulham
Liverpool
Tottenham
Liverpool
Inter
Liverpool
Leeds
Liverpool
West Ham
Liverpool
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brentford
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Manchester United
Home
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
Liverpool
Away
|
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|