Manchester United
Match Timeline
Leeds
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Manchester United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leeds Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United1.66
Leeds1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester United
WWDLW
57 GF / 45 GA
Leeds
WLDWL
46 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.49
24
BTTS Yes
21
20
Over 2.5
19
5.81
Shots on Goal
4.23
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester United
32 matches
Leeds
35 matches
| Manchester United | Statistic | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 9 |
| 10 | Draws | 14 |
| 7 | Losses | 12 |
| 57 | Goals For | 46 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.49 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 5.81 | Shots On Goal | 4.23 |
| 15.97 | Total Shots | 13.26 |
| 4.63 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 53.4% | Ball Possession | 46.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 6 times, Leeds won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:10 from Manchester United's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-2-3-1 / Leeds 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Manchester United 4, Leeds 5
H2H summary: Manchester United wins 6, draws 4, Leeds wins 1
Stats
Manchester United
Leeds
Shots on Goal
9
9
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
6
6
Blocked Shots
5
5
Lineups
Manchester United
Formation
Leeds
S. Lammens
N. Mazraoui
L. Yoro
L. Martinez
L. Shaw
Casemiro
M. Ugarte
A. Diallo
B. Fernandes
M. Cunha
B. Sesko
K. Darlow
J. Justin
J. Bijol
P. Struijk
J. Bogle
E. Ampadu
A. Tanaka
G. Gudmundsson
B. Aaronson
N. Okafor
D. Calvert-Lewin
Manchester United
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
S. Lammens
G
3
N. Mazraoui
D
↓ 70'
15
L. Yoro
D
6
L. Martinez
D
🟥 56'
23
L. Shaw
D
🟨 49'
18
Casemiro
M
⚽ 69'
25
M. Ugarte
M
16
A. Diallo
M
↓ 70'
8
B. Fernandes
M
🎯 69'
🟨 64'
10
M. Cunha
M
🟨 18'
30
B. Sesko
F
Substitutes
1
A. Bayindir
G
7
M. Mount
M
2
D. Dalot
D
↑ 70'
11
J. Zirkzee
F
12
T. Malacia
D
19
B. Mbeumo
F
↑ 70'
39
T. Fletcher
M
61
S. Lacey
F
26
A. Heaven
D
Leeds
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
26
K. Darlow
G
24
J. Justin
D
🟨 39'
15
J. Bijol
D
5
P. Struijk
D
2
J. Bogle
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
🟨 86'
22
A. Tanaka
M
↓ 74'
3
G. Gudmundsson
M
11
B. Aaronson
F
🎯 29'
↓ 86'
19
N. Okafor
F
⚽ 5'
⚽ 29'
↓ 74'
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
F
Substitutes
1
Lucas Perri
G
23
S. Bornauw
D
25
S. Byram
D
14
L. Nmecha
F
8
S. Longstaff
M
↑ 86'
10
J. Piroe
F
44
I. Gruev
M
↑ 74'
29
W. Gnonto
F
↑ 74'
40
F. Buonanotte
M
Last matches: Manchester United
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Fulham
3
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Arsenal
3
2
W
17.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Manchester City
2
0
W
11.01.26
FA
Manchester United
Brighton
1
2
L
07.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Burnley
2
2
D
04.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Wolves
1
1
D
Last matches: Leeds
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Arsenal
0
4
L
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Fulham
1
0
W
H2H: Manchester United vs Leeds
13.04.26
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
04.01.26
H2H
Leeds
Manchester United
1
1
D
19.07.25
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
0
0
D
12.07.23
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
2
0
W
12.02.23
H2H
Leeds
Manchester United
0
2
W
08.02.23
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
2
2
D
20.02.22
H2H
Leeds
Manchester United
2
4
W
14.08.21
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
5
1
W
25.04.21
H2H
Leeds
Manchester United
0
0
D
20.12.20
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
6
2
W
20.09.11
H2H
Leeds
Manchester United
0
3
W
Last matches: Manchester United
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Fulham
3
2
W
17.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Manchester City
2
0
W
11.01.26
FA
Manchester United
Brighton
1
2
L
30.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Wolves
1
1
D
26.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
0
W
15.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
4
4
D
04.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
24.11.25
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
4
2
W
04.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
2
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Manchester United
Chelsea
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
Manchester United
Burnley
3
2
W
17.08.25
Pre
Manchester United
Arsenal
0
1
L
H2H at home: Manchester United
13.04.26
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
19.07.25
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
0
0
D
12.07.23
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
2
0
W
08.02.23
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
2
2
D
14.08.21
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
5
1
W
20.12.20
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
6
2
W
Last matches: Leeds
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Leeds
Derby
3
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Newcastle
3
4
L
01.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Liverpool
0
0
D
28.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
1
1
D
14.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
2
3
L
09.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
0
2
L
20.09.25
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
1
W
H2H away: Leeds
13.04.26
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
W
19.07.25
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
0
0
D
12.07.23
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
2
0
L
08.02.23
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
2
2
D
14.08.21
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
5
1
L
20.12.20
H2H
Manchester United
Leeds
6
2
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Manchester United
Home
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Leeds
Away
|
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Missing Players
Manchester United
4 missing
-
M. de Ligt
OUT
Missing Fixture
Back Injury
-
P. Dorgu
OUT
Missing Fixture
Hamstring Injury
-
H. Maguire
OUT
Missing Fixture
Red Card
-
L. Martinez
OUT
Questionable
Calf Injury
Leeds
5 missing
-
G. Gudmundsson
OUT
Questionable
Groin Injury
-
J. Rodon
OUT
Missing Fixture
Ankle Injury
-
D. James
OUT
Missing Fixture
Muscle Injury
-
A. Stach
OUT
Missing Fixture
Ankle Injury
-
N. Okafor
OUT
Questionable
Back Injury