Manchester City
Match Timeline
Brighton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City1.83
Brighton1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City
WWDLW
56 GF / 24 GA
Brighton
WLDWL
30 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
12
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
11
5.85
Shots on Goal
4.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester City
26 matches
Brighton
20 matches
| Manchester City | Statistic | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 56 | Goals For | 30 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 2.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.85 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 14.77 | Total Shots | 13.55 |
| 5.54 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 59.2% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 9 times, Brighton won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:15 from Manchester City's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-1-4-1 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 9, draws 3, Brighton wins 3
Stats
Manchester City
Brighton
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
10
10
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
6
6
Blocked Shots
0
0
Lineups
Manchester City
Formation
Brighton
G. Donnarumma
M. Nunes
A. Khusanov
M. Alleyne
N. Ake
Nico
B. Silva
T. Reijnders
P. Foden
J. Doku
E. Haaland
B. Verbruggen
J. Hinshelwood
J. P. van Hecke
L. Dunk
M. De Cuyper
Y. Ayari
P. Gross
F. Kadioglu
D. Gomez
K. Mitoma
G. Rutter
Manchester City
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
25
G. Donnarumma
G
🟨 60'
27
M. Nunes
D
↓ 73'
45
A. Khusanov
D
68
M. Alleyne
D
6
N. Ake
D
↓ 73'
14
Nico
M
↓ 64'
20
B. Silva
M
4
T. Reijnders
M
47
P. Foden
M
↓ 73'
11
J. Doku
M
9
E. Haaland
F
⚽ 41'
Substitutes
1
J. Trafford
G
16
Rodri
M
↑ 64'
82
R. Lewis
D
↑ 73'
33
N. O'Reilly
M
↑ 73'
56
R. McAidoo
F
92
R. Heskey
F
10
R. Cherki
M
↑ 73'
91
S. Mfuni
D
63
D. Mukasa
M
Brighton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
13
J. Hinshelwood
D
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
🟨 53'
5
L. Dunk
D
🟨 29'
29
M. De Cuyper
D
🟨 60'
26
Y. Ayari
M
🎯 60'
↓ 83'
30
P. Gross
M
🟨 41'
24
F. Kadioglu
M
25
D. Gomez
M
↓ 77'
22
K. Mitoma
M
⚽ 60'
↓ 83'
🟨 69'
10
G. Rutter
F
↓ 77'
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
20
J. Milner
M
↑ 83'
18
D. Welbeck
F
↑ 77'
21
O. Boscagli
D
42
D. Coppola
D
8
B. Gruda
M
↑ 77'
14
T. Watson
F
↑ 83'
🟨 89'
51
C. Tasker
D
53
H. Howell
M
Last matches: Manchester City
09.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
K-League Stars
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
1
D
16.05.26
FA
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Everton
3
3
D
25.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Burnley
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
3
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
0
3
L
07.03.26
FA
Manchester City
Newcastle
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Leeds
1
0
W
Last matches: Brighton
15.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Bologna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
H2H: Manchester City vs Brighton
07.01.26
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
1
1
D
31.08.25
H2H
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
L
15.03.25
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
2
2
D
09.11.24
H2H
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
L
25.04.24
H2H
Brighton
Manchester City
0
4
W
21.10.23
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
2
1
W
24.05.23
H2H
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
22.10.22
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
3
1
W
20.04.22
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
3
0
W
23.10.21
H2H
Brighton
Manchester City
1
4
W
18.05.21
H2H
Brighton
Manchester City
3
2
L
13.01.21
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
1
0
W
11.07.20
H2H
Brighton
Manchester City
0
5
W
31.08.19
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
4
0
W
12.05.19
H2H
Brighton
Manchester City
1
4
W
Last matches: Manchester City
09.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
25.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Newcastle
2
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Manchester City
Salford City
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Fulham
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Manchester City
Galatasaray
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Wolves
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Manchester City
Exeter City
10
1
W
04.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
Sunderland
3
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Manchester City
Leeds
3
2
W
H2H at home: Manchester City
07.01.26
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
1
1
D
15.03.25
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
2
2
D
21.10.23
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
2
1
W
22.10.22
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
3
1
W
20.04.22
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
3
0
W
13.01.21
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
1
0
W
31.08.19
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
4
0
W
Last matches: Brighton
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
30.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
2
4
L
05.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
24.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Everton
0
2
L
H2H away: Brighton
07.01.26
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
1
1
D
15.03.25
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
2
2
D
21.10.23
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
2
1
L
22.10.22
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
3
1
L
20.04.22
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
3
0
L
13.01.21
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
1
0
L
31.08.19
H2H
Manchester City
Brighton
4
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Manchester City
Home
|
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Away
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship