Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
80.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
18.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Everton
Sunderland
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Everton
37 matches
Sunderland
39 matches
| Everton | Statistic | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 13 |
| 11 | Draws | 13 |
| 13 | Losses | 13 |
| 47 | Goals For | 39 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 3.78 | Shots On Goal | 3.64 |
| 11.24 | Total Shots | 10.77 |
| 4.27 | Corners | 3.87 |
| 43.4% | Ball Possession | 45.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sunderland. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
From their first 36 matches, Everton have collected 49 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 46:46 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Beto (9 goals), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (8 goals), Thierno Barry (8 goals), with creative support from J. Garner (7 assists), J. Grealish (6 assists), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Sunderland have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 48 points from 36 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 37:46 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Brobbey (6 goals), W. Isidor (5 goals), C. Talbi (4 goals), with creative support from Granit Xhaka (6 assists), E. Le Fee (5 assists), N. Mukiele (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Everton won 7 times, Sunderland won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from Everton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Everton
4
3
4
4
2
0
Lineups
Everton
Tottenham
Everton
Crystal Palace
Everton
Manchester City
Everton
West Ham
Everton
Liverpool
Everton
Brentford
Everton
Chelsea
Everton
Arsenal
Everton
Burnley
Everton
Newcastle
Everton
Manchester United
Everton
Bournemouth
Everton
Fulham
Everton
Brighton
Everton
Leeds
Everton
Aston Villa
Everton
Sunderland
Everton
Wolves
Everton
Brentford
Everton
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
Chelsea
Sunderland
Manchester United
Sunderland
Wolves
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Tottenham
Sunderland
Newcastle
Sunderland
Brighton
Sunderland
Port Vale
Sunderland
Leeds
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Fulham
Sunderland
Oxford United
Sunderland
Liverpool
Sunderland
Arsenal
Sunderland
Burnley
Sunderland
West Ham
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
Sunderland
Everton
Sunderland
Brentford
Everton
Manchester City
Everton
Liverpool
Everton
Chelsea
Everton
Burnley
Everton
Manchester United
Everton
Bournemouth
Everton
Leeds
Everton
Sunderland
Everton
Wolves
Everton
Brentford
Everton
Arsenal
Everton
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Newcastle
Everton
Fulham
Everton
Tottenham
Everton
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Everton
Aston Villa
Everton
Brighton
Sunderland
Wolves
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Newcastle
Sunderland
Port Vale
Sunderland
Leeds
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Oxford United
Sunderland
Arsenal
Sunderland
West Ham
Sunderland
Everton
Sunderland
Brentford
Sunderland
Tottenham
Sunderland
Brighton
Sunderland
Manchester City
Sunderland
Liverpool
Sunderland
Fulham
Sunderland
Chelsea
Sunderland
Manchester United
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Sunderland
Away
|
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Everton
Home
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|