Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
69.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Everton
Manchester City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Everton
35 matches
Manchester City
48 matches
| Everton | Statistic | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 31 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 13 | Losses | 9 |
| 42 | Goals For | 103 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.15 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 43 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 30 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.66 | Shots On Goal | 5.88 |
| 11.11 | Total Shots | 15.79 |
| 4.09 | Corners | 6.27 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 60.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Manchester City's more proactive style and Everton's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Manchester City having the stronger overall control. Everton have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Manchester City. Manchester City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 70 points while Everton sit 11 on 47, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Everton approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 47 points from 34 matches. The overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats with a 41:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Beto (8 goals), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (8 goals), I. Ndiaye (6 goals), with creative support from J. Garner (6 assists), J. Grealish (6 assists), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without J. Grealish, J. Branthwaite, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Manchester City come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 70 points after 33 matches. They have recorded 21 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a 66:29 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on E. Haaland (24 goals), P. Foden (7 goals), Nico O'Reilly (5 goals), with creative support from R. Cherki (10 assists), E. Haaland (7 assists), J. Doku (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Gvardiol, R. Dias, Rodri unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Everton won 0 times, Manchester City won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:36 from Everton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Everton
6
4
2
8
6
9
Lineups
Everton
Tottenham
Everton
Sunderland
Everton
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Everton
Liverpool
Everton
Brentford
Everton
Chelsea
Everton
Arsenal
Everton
Burnley
Everton
Newcastle
Everton
Manchester United
Everton
Bournemouth
Everton
Fulham
Everton
Brighton
Everton
Leeds
Everton
Aston Villa
Everton
Sunderland
Everton
Wolves
Everton
Brentford
Everton
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Brentford
Manchester City
Southampton
Manchester City
Burnley
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
Liverpool
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Manchester City
West Ham
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Leeds
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City
Salford City
Manchester City
Fulham
Manchester City
Liverpool
Everton
Sunderland
Everton
Liverpool
Everton
Chelsea
Everton
Burnley
Everton
Manchester United
Everton
Bournemouth
Everton
Leeds
Everton
Sunderland
Everton
Wolves
Everton
Brentford
Everton
Arsenal
Everton
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Newcastle
Everton
Fulham
Everton
Tottenham
Everton
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Everton
Aston Villa
Everton
Brighton
Manchester City
Bournemouth
Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
Burnley
Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
West Ham
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City
Leeds
Manchester City
Liverpool
Manchester City
Tottenham
Manchester City
Bodo/Glimt
Manchester City
Manchester United
Manchester City
Sunderland
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Fulham
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Villarreal
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Manchester City
Away
|
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Everton
Home
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|