ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Referee: M. Oliver
Everton
Match Timeline
Manchester City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
J. Doku · Assist: R. Cherki
Manchester City
🟨
45'
Michael Keane
Everton
🟨
48'
Beto
Everton
🟨
53'
James Tarkowski
Everton
🔄
64'
Beto ↔ T. Barry
Everton
68'
T. Barry
Everton
🟨
73'
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Manchester City
73'
J. O'Brien · Assist: J. Garner
Everton
🔄
74'
A. Semenyo ↔ P. Foden
Manchester City
🔄
75'
Nico ↔ M. Kovacic
Manchester City
81'
T. Barry
Everton
83'
E. Haaland · Assist: M. Kovacic
Manchester City
🟨
86'
Jake O'Brien
Everton
🔄
87'
B. Silva ↔ O. Marmoush
Manchester City
🔄
90+2'
M. Rohl ↔ N. Patterson
Everton
🔄
90+2'
K. Dewsbury-Hall ↔ C. Alcaraz
Everton
🔄
90+6'
T. Iroegbunam ↔ H. Armstrong
Everton
90'
J. Doku · Assist: M. Guehi
Manchester City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Everton Win 23.2%
Draw 7.4%
Manchester City Win 69.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Everton1.1
Manchester City1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Everton Everton
WWDLW
42 GF / 42 GA
Manchester City Manchester City
WLDWL
103 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
2.15
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
17
BTTS Yes
24
14
Over 2.5
30
3.66
Shots on Goal
5.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Everton Everton 35 matches
Manchester City Manchester City 48 matches
Everton Statistic Manchester City
13 Wins 31
9 Draws 8
13 Losses 9
42 Goals For 103
42 Goals Against 46
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 2.15
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
17 BTTS Yes 24
27 Over 1.5 43
14 Over 2.5 30
5 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 19
9 Failed To Score 6
3.66 Shots On Goal 5.88
11.11 Total Shots 15.79
4.09 Corners 6.27
44% Ball Possession 60.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Manchester City's more proactive style and Everton's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Manchester City having the stronger overall control. Everton have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Manchester City. Manchester City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 70 points while Everton sit 11 on 47, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Everton Analysis

Everton approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 47 points from 34 matches. The overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats with a 41:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Beto (8 goals), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (8 goals), I. Ndiaye (6 goals), with creative support from J. Garner (6 assists), J. Grealish (6 assists), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without J. Grealish, J. Branthwaite, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Manchester City Analysis

Manchester City come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 70 points after 33 matches. They have recorded 21 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a 66:29 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on E. Haaland (24 goals), P. Foden (7 goals), Nico O'Reilly (5 goals), with creative support from R. Cherki (10 assists), E. Haaland (7 assists), J. Doku (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Gvardiol, R. Dias, Rodri unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Everton won 0 times, Manchester City won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:36 from Everton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: Everton 4-2-3-1 / Manchester City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Everton 2, Manchester City 3
H2H summary: Everton wins 0, draws 3, Manchester City wins 12
Stats
Everton Everton
Manchester City Manchester City
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
9
5 Corner Kicks 9
15 Fouls 5
4 Offsides 0
25% Ball Possession 75%
14 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 8
6 Blocked Shots 9
10 Shots insidebox 13
4 Shots outsidebox 8
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
201 Total passes 629
138 Passes accurate 568
2.72 expected_goals 1.54
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Everton
Formation
Manchester City
J. Pickford
J. Pickford
J. O'Brien
J. O'Brien
J. Tarkowski
J. Tarkowski
M. Keane
M. Keane
V. Mykolenko
V. Mykolenko
T. Iroegbunam
T. Iroegbunam
J. Garner
🎯
J. Garner
M. Rohl
M. Rohl
K. Dewsbury-Hall
K. Dewsbury-Hall
I. Ndiaye
I. Ndiaye
Beto
Beto
G. Donnarumma
G. Donnarumma
M. Nunes
M. Nunes
A. Khusanov
A. Khusanov
M. Guehi
🎯
M. Guehi
N. O'Reilly
N. O'Reilly
Nico
Nico
B. Silva
B. Silva
A. Semenyo
A. Semenyo
R. Cherki
🎯
R. Cherki
J. Doku
⚽ 2
J. Doku
E. Haaland
E. Haaland
Everton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Pickford
G
15
J. O'Brien
⚽ 73' 🟨 86'
D
6
J. Tarkowski
🟨 53'
D
5
M. Keane
🟨 45'
D
16
V. Mykolenko
D
42
T. Iroegbunam
↓ 90+6'
M
37
J. Garner
🎯 73'
M
34
M. Rohl
↓ 90+2'
M
22
K. Dewsbury-Hall
↓ 90+2'
M
10
I. Ndiaye
M
9
Beto
↓ 64' 🟨 48'
F
Substitutes
12
M. Travers
G
2
N. Patterson
↑ 90+2'
D
24
C. Alcaraz
↑ 90+2'
M
20
T. Dibling
M
19
T. George
F
11
T. Barry
⚽ 68' ⚽ 81' ↑ 64'
F
45
H. Armstrong
↑ 90+6'
M
23
S. Coleman
D
7
D. McNeil
F
Manchester City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
G. Donnarumma
🟨 73'
G
27
M. Nunes
D
45
A. Khusanov
D
15
M. Guehi
🎯 90'
D
33
N. O'Reilly
D
14
Nico
↓ 75'
M
20
B. Silva
↓ 87'
M
42
A. Semenyo
↓ 74'
M
10
R. Cherki
🎯 43'
M
11
J. Doku
⚽ 43' ⚽ 90'
M
9
E. Haaland
⚽ 83'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Trafford
G
4
T. Reijnders
M
21
R. Ait-Nouri
D
8
M. Kovacic
🎯 83' ↑ 75'
M
5
J. Stones
D
6
N. Ake
D
47
P. Foden
↑ 74'
M
7
O. Marmoush
↑ 87'
F
26
Savinho
F
Last matches: Everton
24.05.26
Pre
Everton
Tottenham
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
Everton
Sunderland
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
Everton
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pre
Everton
West Ham
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Everton
Liverpool
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Everton
Brentford
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Everton
Chelsea
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Everton
Arsenal
0
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Everton
Burnley
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Everton
Newcastle
3
2
W
23.02.26
Pre
Everton
Manchester United
0
1
L
10.02.26
Pre
Everton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Everton
Fulham
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Everton
Brighton
1
1
D
26.01.26
Pre
Everton
Leeds
1
1
D
18.01.26
Pre
Everton
Aston Villa
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Everton
Sunderland
1
1
D
07.01.26
Pre
Everton
Wolves
1
1
D
04.01.26
Pre
Everton
Brentford
2
4
L
30.12.25
Pre
Everton
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
Last matches: Manchester City
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
1
D
16.05.26
FA
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
25.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Burnley
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
3
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
0
3
L
07.03.26
FA
Manchester City
Newcastle
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Leeds
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Newcastle
2
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Manchester City
Salford City
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Fulham
3
0
W
08.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Liverpool
2
1
W
H2H: Everton vs Manchester City
04.05.26
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
3
3
D
18.10.25
H2H
Manchester City
Everton
2
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
2
L
26.12.24
H2H
Manchester City
Everton
1
1
D
10.02.24
H2H
Manchester City
Everton
2
0
L
27.12.23
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
1
3
L
14.05.23
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
3
L
31.12.22
H2H
Manchester City
Everton
1
1
D
26.02.22
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
1
L
21.11.21
H2H
Manchester City
Everton
3
0
L
23.05.21
H2H
Manchester City
Everton
5
0
L
20.03.21
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
2
L
17.02.21
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.01.20
H2H
Manchester City
Everton
2
1
L
28.09.19
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
1
3
L
Last matches: Everton
17.05.26
Pre
Everton
Sunderland
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pre
Everton
Liverpool
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Everton
Chelsea
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Everton
Burnley
2
0
W
23.02.26
Pre
Everton
Manchester United
0
1
L
10.02.26
Pre
Everton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
26.01.26
Pre
Everton
Leeds
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Everton
Sunderland
1
1
D
07.01.26
Pre
Everton
Wolves
1
1
D
04.01.26
Pre
Everton
Brentford
2
4
L
20.12.25
Pre
Everton
Arsenal
0
1
L
06.12.25
Pre
Everton
Nottingham Forest
3
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Everton
Newcastle
1
4
L
08.11.25
Pre
Everton
Fulham
2
0
W
26.10.25
Pre
Everton
Tottenham
0
3
L
05.10.25
Pre
Everton
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
29.09.25
Pre
Everton
West Ham
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pre
Everton
Aston Villa
0
0
D
24.08.25
Pre
Everton
Brighton
2
0
W
H2H at home: Everton
04.05.26
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
3
3
D
19.04.25
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
2
L
27.12.23
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
1
3
L
14.05.23
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
3
L
26.02.22
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
1
L
20.03.21
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
2
L
17.02.21
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
1
3
L
28.09.19
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
1
3
L
Last matches: Manchester City
19.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
1
D
16.05.26
FA
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Burnley
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
0
3
L
07.03.26
FA
Manchester City
Newcastle
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Leeds
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Liverpool
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Tottenham
2
2
D
20.01.26
UEF
Manchester City
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
17.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Manchester United
0
2
L
01.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Sunderland
0
0
D
27.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
14.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
2
1
W
02.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
Fulham
5
4
W
22.11.25
Pre
Manchester City
Newcastle
1
2
L
26.10.25
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
0
1
L
21.10.25
UEF
Manchester City
Villarreal
2
0
W
H2H away: Manchester City
04.05.26
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
3
3
D
19.04.25
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
2
W
27.12.23
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
1
3
W
14.05.23
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
3
W
26.02.22
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
1
W
20.03.21
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
0
2
W
17.02.21
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
1
3
W
28.09.19
H2H
Everton
Manchester City
1
3
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L

Missing Players

Everton 2 missing
-
J. Grealish
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
J. Branthwaite
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Manchester City 3 missing
-
J. Gvardiol
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
R. Dias
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Rodri
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT