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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Burnley
FT
0 - 2
Brighton
Turf Moor
Referee: T. Bramall
Burnley
Match Timeline
Brighton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Maxime Estève
Burnley
⚽
43'
M. Wieffer · Assist: P. Gross
Brighton
🟨
48'
Jan Paul van Hecke
Brighton
🟨
60'
Florentino Luís
Burnley
🔄
67'
L. Ugochukwu ↔ J. Bruun Larsen
Burnley
🔄
75'
M. Edwards ↔ M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
Burnley
🔄
75'
J. Hinshelwood ↔ C. Baleba
Brighton
🔄
75'
D. Welbeck ↔ G. Rutter
Brighton
🔄
80'
Y. Minteh ↔ K. Mitoma
Brighton
🔄
82'
B. Humphreys ↔ K. Walker
Burnley
🔄
82'
Florentino ↔ A. Broja
Burnley
🔄
82'
Q. Hartman ↔ Lucas Pires
Burnley
🔄
88'
D. Gomez ↔ J. Veltman
Brighton
⚽
89'
M. Wieffer · Assist: Y. Ayari
Brighton

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.2
Brighton1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley Burnley
WWDLW
39 GF / 64 GA
Brighton Brighton
WLDWL
43 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
20
BTTS Yes
20
18
Over 2.5
16
3.12
Shots on Goal
4.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burnley Burnley 33 matches
Brighton Brighton 33 matches
Burnley Statistic Brighton
5 Wins 12
8 Draws 10
20 Losses 11
39 Goals For 43
64 Goals Against 41
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
20 BTTS Yes 20
29 Over 1.5 27
18 Over 2.5 16
13 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 8
3.12 Shots On Goal 4.39
9.85 Total Shots 12.97
3.76 Corners 4.67
42.7% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 3 times, Brighton won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Burnley's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Burnley 4-2-3-1 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Burnley 6, Brighton 3
H2H summary: Burnley wins 3, draws 8, Brighton wins 4
Stats
Burnley Burnley
Brighton Brighton
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
8 Corner Kicks 2
7 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
475 Total passes 477
387 Passes accurate 397
0.88 expected_goals 1.93
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Burnley
Formation
Brighton
M. Dubravka
M. Dubravka
B. Humphreys
↓
B. Humphreys
H. Ekdal
H. Ekdal
M. Esteve
M. Esteve
Q. Hartman
↓
Q. Hartman
J. Ward-Prowse
J. Ward-Prowse
Florentino
↓
Florentino
M. Edwards
↓
M. Edwards
L. Ugochukwu
↓
L. Ugochukwu
J. Anthony
J. Anthony
Z. Flemming
Z. Flemming
B. Verbruggen
B. Verbruggen
M. Wieffer
⚽ 2
M. Wieffer
J. P. van Hecke
J. P. van Hecke
O. Boscagli
O. Boscagli
F. Kadioglu
F. Kadioglu
Y. Ayari
🎯
Y. Ayari
P. Gross
🎯
P. Gross
D. Gomez
↓
D. Gomez
J. Hinshelwood
↓
J. Hinshelwood
Y. Minteh
↓
Y. Minteh
D. Welbeck
↓
D. Welbeck
Burnley 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Dubravka
G
12
B. Humphreys
↓ 82'
D
18
H. Ekdal
D
5
M. Esteve
🟨 30'
D
3
Q. Hartman
↓ 82'
D
20
J. Ward-Prowse
M
16
Florentino
↓ 82' 🟨 60'
M
10
M. Edwards
↓ 75'
M
8
L. Ugochukwu
↓ 67'
M
11
J. Anthony
M
19
Z. Flemming
F
Substitutes
13
M. Weiss
G
2
K. Walker
↑ 82'
D
31
M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
↑ 75'
F
4
J. Worrall
D
27
A. Broja
↑ 82'
F
17
L. Tchaouna
F
23
Lucas Pires
↑ 82'
D
7
J. Bruun Larsen
↑ 67'
F
9
L. Foster
F
Brighton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
27
M. Wieffer
⚽ 43' ⚽ 89'
D
6
J. P. van Hecke
🟨 48'
D
21
O. Boscagli
D
24
F. Kadioglu
D
26
Y. Ayari
🎯 89'
M
30
P. Gross
🎯 43'
M
25
D. Gomez
↓ 88'
M
13
J. Hinshelwood
↓ 75'
M
11
Y. Minteh
↓ 80'
M
18
D. Welbeck
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
34
J. Veltman
↑ 88'
D
7
S. March
M
3
Igor
D
22
K. Mitoma
↑ 80'
M
17
C. Baleba
↑ 75'
M
19
C. Kostoulas
F
10
G. Rutter
↑ 75'
F
29
M. De Cuyper
D
Last matches: Burnley
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
07.02.26
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
0
2
L
02.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Sunderland
0
3
L
24.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Tottenham
2
2
D
17.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Liverpool
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Burnley
Millwall
5
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester United
2
2
D
03.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
Last matches: Brighton
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
H2H: Burnley vs Brighton
11.04.26
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
03.01.26
H2H
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
1
D
09.12.23
H2H
Brighton
Burnley
1
1
D
19.02.22
H2H
Brighton
Burnley
0
3
W
14.08.21
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
2
L
06.02.21
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
1
D
06.11.20
H2H
Brighton
Burnley
0
0
D
26.07.20
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
2
L
14.09.19
H2H
Brighton
Burnley
1
1
D
09.02.19
H2H
Brighton
Burnley
1
3
W
08.12.18
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
0
W
28.04.18
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
0
0
D
16.12.17
H2H
Brighton
Burnley
0
0
D
02.04.16
H2H
Brighton
Burnley
2
2
D
Last matches: Burnley
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
0
2
L
24.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Tottenham
2
2
D
10.01.26
FA
Burnley
Millwall
5
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester United
2
2
D
30.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Newcastle
1
3
L
27.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
2
3
L
03.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
2
L
18.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
2
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
14.09.25
Pre
Burnley
Liverpool
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pre
Burnley
Sunderland
2
0
W
H2H at home: Burnley
11.04.26
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
13.04.24
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
1
D
14.08.21
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
2
L
06.02.21
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
1
D
26.07.20
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
2
L
08.12.18
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
0
W
28.04.18
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
0
0
D
Last matches: Brighton
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
2
4
L
05.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
24.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Everton
0
2
L
H2H away: Brighton
11.04.26
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
W
13.04.24
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
1
D
14.08.21
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
2
W
06.02.21
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
1
D
26.07.20
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
2
W
08.12.18
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
1
0
L
28.04.18
H2H
Burnley
Brighton
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Arsenal
38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2
Manchester City
38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3
Manchester United
38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4
Aston Villa
38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5
Liverpool
38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6
Bournemouth
38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7
Sunderland
38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8
Brighton Away
38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9
Brentford
38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10
Chelsea
38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11
Fulham
38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12
Newcastle
38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13
Everton
38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds
38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15
Crystal Palace
38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16
Nottingham Forest
38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17
Tottenham
38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18
West Ham
38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19
Burnley Home
38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20
Wolves
38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L

Missing Players

Burnley 6 missing
-
Z. Amdouni
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Beyer
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
J. Cullen
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Laurent
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
C. Roberts
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
H. Mejbri
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
Brighton 3 missing
-
L. Dunk
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
S. Tzimas
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Webster
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT