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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Burnley
FT
3 - 4
Brentford
Turf Moor
Referee: S. Barrott
Burnley
Match Timeline
Brentford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Yehor Yarmolyuk
Brentford
⚽
9'
M. Damsgaard · Assist: D. Ouattara
Brentford
⚽
25'
I. Thiago · Assist: M. Damsgaard
Brentford
⚽
34'
K. Schade
Brentford
⚽
45'
M. Kayode
Burnley
🔄
46'
J. Laurent ↔ L. Ugochukwu
Burnley
🔄
46'
J. Bruun Larsen ↔ L. Foster
Burnley
⚽
47'
J. Anthony · Assist: H. Mejbri
Burnley
⚽
60'
Z. Flemming · Assist: H. Mejbri
Burnley
🔄
72'
K. Schade ↔ K. Lewis-Potter
Brentford
🔄
72'
D. Ouattara ↔ R. Donovan
Brentford
🔄
73'
Y. Yarmolyuk ↔ J. Henderson
Brentford
🔄
75'
J. Ward-Prowse ↔ Florentino
Burnley
🟨
77'
Igor Thiago
Brentford
VAR
81'
Zian Flemming
Burnley
🔄
84'
H. Mejbri ↔ L. Tchaouna
Burnley
🟨
86'
Bashir Humphreys
Burnley
🟨
90+11'
Lyle Foster
Burnley
VAR
90+13'
Ashley Barnes
Burnley
🔄
90+1'
Z. Flemming ↔ A. Barnes
Burnley
⚽
90'
M. Damsgaard · Assist: R. Henry
Brentford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brentford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.24
Brentford1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley Burnley
WWDLW
35 GF / 55 GA
Brentford Brentford
WLDWL
43 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
18
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
13
3.14
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burnley Burnley 29 matches
Brentford Brentford 29 matches
Burnley Statistic Brentford
5 Wins 14
7 Draws 4
17 Losses 11
35 Goals For 43
55 Goals Against 37
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
18 BTTS Yes 14
26 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 8
3.14 Shots On Goal 4.14
9.79 Total Shots 11
3.66 Corners 5.14
42.8% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 4 times, Brentford won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from Burnley's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Burnley 3-4-2-1 / Brentford 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Burnley wins 4, draws 0, Brentford wins 4
Stats
Burnley Burnley
Brentford Brentford
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
4 Corner Kicks 8
9 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 7
7 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 13
3 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
326 Total passes 463
256 Passes accurate 376
0.97 expected_goals 2.25
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Burnley
Formation
Brentford
M. Dubravka
M. Dubravka
B. Humphreys
B. Humphreys
J. Worrall
J. Worrall
M. Esteve
M. Esteve
J. Laurent
↓
J. Laurent
J. Ward-Prowse
↓
J. Ward-Prowse
H. Mejbri
🎯 ↓
H. Mejbri
Lucas Pires
Lucas Pires
J. Bruun Larsen
↓
J. Bruun Larsen
J. Anthony
⚽
J. Anthony
Z. Flemming
⚽ ↓
Z. Flemming
H. R. Valdimarsson
H. R. Valdimarsson
M. Kayode
⚽
M. Kayode
K. Ajer
K. Ajer
S. van den Berg
S. van den Berg
R. Henry
🎯
R. Henry
Y. Yarmolyuk
↓
Y. Yarmolyuk
M. Jensen
M. Jensen
D. Ouattara
🎯 ↓
D. Ouattara
M. Damsgaard
⚽ 2 🎯
M. Damsgaard
K. Schade
⚽ ↓
K. Schade
I. Thiago
⚽
I. Thiago
Burnley 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
M. Dubravka
G
12
B. Humphreys
🟨 86'
D
4
J. Worrall
D
5
M. Esteve
D
29
J. Laurent
↓ 46'
M
20
J. Ward-Prowse
↓ 75'
M
28
H. Mejbri
🎯 47' 🎯 60' ↓ 84'
M
23
Lucas Pires
M
7
J. Bruun Larsen
↓ 46'
F
11
J. Anthony
⚽ 47'
F
19
Z. Flemming
⚽ 60' ↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
13
M. Weiss
G
2
K. Walker
D
17
L. Tchaouna
↑ 84'
F
8
L. Ugochukwu
↑ 46'
M
3
Q. Hartman
D
35
A. Barnes
↑ 90+1'
F
16
Florentino
↑ 75'
M
18
H. Ekdal
D
9
L. Foster
↑ 46' 🟨 90+11'
F
Brentford 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
H. R. Valdimarsson
G
33
M. Kayode
⚽ 45'
D
20
K. Ajer
D
4
S. van den Berg
D
3
R. Henry
🎯 90'
D
18
Y. Yarmolyuk
↓ 73' 🟨 -5'
M
8
M. Jensen
M
19
D. Ouattara
🎯 9' ↓ 72'
M
24
M. Damsgaard
⚽ 9' ⚽ 90' 🎯 25'
M
7
K. Schade
⚽ 34' ↓ 72'
M
9
I. Thiago
⚽ 25' 🟨 77'
F
Substitutes
31
E. Balcombe
G
6
J. Henderson
↑ 73'
M
5
E. Pinnock
D
22
N. Collins
D
23
K. Lewis-Potter
↑ 72'
F
47
K. Furo
F
45
R. Donovan
↑ 72'
M
49
O. Shield
D
48
L. Bentt
M
Last matches: Burnley
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
07.02.26
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
0
2
L
Last matches: Brentford
08.08.26
Fri
Brentford
Rennes
4
2
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brentford
Liverpool
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Brentford
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pre
Brentford
Manchester City
0
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brentford
West Ham
3
0
W
27.04.26
Pre
Brentford
Manchester United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pre
Brentford
Fulham
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brentford
Everton
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Brentford
Leeds
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pre
Brentford
Wolves
2
2
D
09.03.26
FA
Brentford
West Ham
2
2
D
03.03.26
Pre
Brentford
Bournemouth
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Brentford
Brighton
0
2
L
16.02.26
FA
Brentford
Macclesfield
1
0
W
12.02.26
Pre
Brentford
Arsenal
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Brentford
Newcastle
3
2
W
01.02.26
Pre
Brentford
Aston Villa
1
0
W
25.01.26
Pre
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
0
2
L
17.01.26
Pre
Brentford
Chelsea
0
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Brentford
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
H2H: Burnley vs Brentford
28.02.26
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
29.11.25
H2H
Brentford
Burnley
3
1
L
16.03.24
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
2
1
W
21.10.23
H2H
Brentford
Burnley
3
0
L
12.03.22
H2H
Brentford
Burnley
2
0
L
30.10.21
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
3
1
W
15.01.16
H2H
Brentford
Burnley
1
3
W
22.08.15
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
1
0
W
Last matches: Burnley
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
0
2
L
24.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Tottenham
2
2
D
10.01.26
FA
Burnley
Millwall
5
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester United
2
2
D
30.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Newcastle
1
3
L
27.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
2
3
L
03.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
2
L
18.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
2
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
H2H at home: Burnley
28.02.26
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
16.03.24
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
2
1
W
30.10.21
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
3
1
W
22.08.15
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
1
0
W
Last matches: Brentford
08.08.26
Fri
Brentford
Rennes
4
2
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brentford
Liverpool
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Brentford
Manchester City
0
3
L
27.04.26
Pre
Brentford
Manchester United
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Brentford
Leeds
0
0
D
09.03.26
FA
Brentford
West Ham
2
2
D
03.03.26
Pre
Brentford
Bournemouth
0
0
D
16.02.26
FA
Brentford
Macclesfield
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Brentford
Newcastle
3
2
W
01.02.26
Pre
Brentford
Aston Villa
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Brentford
Chelsea
0
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Brentford
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
04.01.26
Pre
Brentford
Everton
4
2
W
20.12.25
Pre
Brentford
Wolves
2
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Brentford
Tottenham
0
2
L
03.12.25
Pre
Brentford
Arsenal
0
2
L
22.11.25
Pre
Brentford
Brighton
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Brentford
Crystal Palace
0
2
L
20.10.25
Pre
Brentford
West Ham
2
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Brentford
Fulham
1
3
L
H2H away: Brentford
28.02.26
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
W
16.03.24
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
2
1
L
30.10.21
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
3
1
L
22.08.15
H2H
Burnley
Brentford
1
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Arsenal
38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2
Manchester City
38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3
Manchester United
38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4
Aston Villa
38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5
Liverpool
38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6
Bournemouth
38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7
Sunderland
38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8
Brighton
38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9
Brentford Away
38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10
Chelsea
38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11
Fulham
38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12
Newcastle
38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13
Everton
38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds
38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15
Crystal Palace
38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16
Nottingham Forest
38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17
Tottenham
38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18
West Ham
38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19
Burnley Home
38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20
Wolves
38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship