Brentford
Match Timeline
Brighton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Brentford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brentford1.47
Brighton1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brentford
WWDLW
43 GF / 35 GA
Brighton
WLDWL
36 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
14
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
14
4.18
Shots on Goal
4.18
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brentford
28 matches
Brighton
28 matches
| Brentford | Statistic | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 10 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 43 | Goals For | 36 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 4.18 |
| 10.93 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 5.11 | Corners | 4.82 |
| 48.1% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brentford won 4 times, Brighton won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Brentford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Brentford 4-2-3-1 / Brighton 4-3-3
H2H summary: Brentford wins 4, draws 4, Brighton wins 7
Stats
Brentford
Brighton
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
10
10
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
0
0
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
Brentford
Formation
Brighton
C. Kelleher
A. Hickey
K. Ajer
S. van den Berg
R. Henry
J. Henderson
V. Janelt
K. Lewis-Potter
M. Jensen
D. Ouattara
I. Thiago
B. Verbruggen
M. Wieffer
J. P. van Hecke
L. Dunk
F. Kadioglu
J. Hinshelwood
J. Milner
P. Gross
D. Gomez
D. Welbeck
K. Mitoma
Brentford
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Kelleher
G
2
A. Hickey
D
↓ 45'
20
K. Ajer
D
↓ 81'
4
S. van den Berg
D
3
R. Henry
D
6
J. Henderson
M
↓ 67'
27
V. Janelt
M
↓ 46'
23
K. Lewis-Potter
M
↓ 46'
8
M. Jensen
M
19
D. Ouattara
M
9
I. Thiago
F
Substitutes
12
H. R. Valdimarsson
G
5
E. Pinnock
D
22
N. Collins
D
↑ 45'
24
M. Damsgaard
M
↑ 67'
7
K. Schade
M
↑ 46'
11
R. Nelson
F
18
Y. Yarmolyuk
M
↑ 46'
🟨 90+2'
47
K. Furo
F
45
R. Donovan
M
↑ 81'
Brighton
4-3-3
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
27
M. Wieffer
D
↓ 65'
🟨 12'
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
5
L. Dunk
D
24
F. Kadioglu
D
🟨 54'
13
J. Hinshelwood
M
20
J. Milner
M
↓ 90'
30
P. Gross
M
25
D. Gomez
F
⚽ 30'
↓ 76'
18
D. Welbeck
F
⚽ 45'
22
K. Mitoma
F
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
34
J. Veltman
D
↑ 65'
21
O. Boscagli
D
17
C. Baleba
M
↑ 90'
19
C. Kostoulas
F
10
G. Rutter
F
29
M. De Cuyper
D
↑ 76'
11
Y. Minteh
F
53
H. Howell
M
Last matches: Brentford
08.08.26
Fri
Brentford
Rennes
4
2
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brentford
Liverpool
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Brentford
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pre
Brentford
Manchester City
0
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brentford
West Ham
3
0
W
27.04.26
Pre
Brentford
Manchester United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pre
Brentford
Fulham
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brentford
Everton
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Brentford
Leeds
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pre
Brentford
Wolves
2
2
D
09.03.26
FA
Brentford
West Ham
2
2
D
03.03.26
Pre
Brentford
Bournemouth
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Brentford
Burnley
4
3
W
16.02.26
FA
Brentford
Macclesfield
1
0
W
12.02.26
Pre
Brentford
Arsenal
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Brentford
Newcastle
3
2
W
01.02.26
Pre
Brentford
Aston Villa
1
0
W
25.01.26
Pre
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
0
2
L
17.01.26
Pre
Brentford
Chelsea
0
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Brentford
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
Last matches: Brighton
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
H2H: Brentford vs Brighton
21.02.26
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
2
L
22.11.25
H2H
Brighton
Brentford
2
1
L
19.04.25
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
4
2
W
27.12.24
H2H
Brighton
Brentford
0
0
D
03.04.24
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
0
D
06.12.23
H2H
Brighton
Brentford
2
1
L
26.07.23
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
2
L
01.04.23
H2H
Brighton
Brentford
3
3
D
14.10.22
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
2
0
W
26.07.22
H2H
Brighton
Brentford
0
1
W
26.12.21
H2H
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
L
11.09.21
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
1
L
05.02.17
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
3
3
D
10.09.16
H2H
Brighton
Brentford
0
2
W
05.02.16
H2H
Brighton
Brentford
3
0
L
Last matches: Brentford
17.05.26
Pre
Brentford
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pre
Brentford
West Ham
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brentford
Fulham
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brentford
Everton
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Brentford
Wolves
2
2
D
12.02.26
Pre
Brentford
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pre
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
0
2
L
07.01.26
Pre
Brentford
Sunderland
3
0
W
01.01.26
Pre
Brentford
Tottenham
0
0
D
27.12.25
Pre
Brentford
Bournemouth
4
1
W
14.12.25
Pre
Brentford
Leeds
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Brentford
Burnley
3
1
W
09.11.25
Pre
Brentford
Newcastle
3
1
W
25.10.25
Pre
Brentford
Liverpool
3
2
W
05.10.25
Pre
Brentford
Manchester City
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pre
Brentford
Manchester United
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Brentford
Chelsea
2
2
D
23.08.25
Pre
Brentford
Aston Villa
1
0
W
H2H at home: Brentford
21.02.26
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
2
L
19.04.25
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
4
2
W
03.04.24
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
0
D
26.07.23
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
2
L
14.10.22
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
2
0
W
11.09.21
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
1
L
05.02.17
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
3
3
D
Last matches: Brighton
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
2
4
L
05.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
24.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Everton
0
2
L
H2H away: Brighton
21.02.26
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
2
W
19.04.25
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
4
2
L
03.04.24
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
0
D
26.07.23
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
2
W
14.10.22
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
2
0
L
11.09.21
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
0
1
W
05.02.17
H2H
Brentford
Brighton
3
3
D
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Away
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
Brentford
Home
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship