Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
71.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
67.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
91.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Bournemouth
Manchester City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bournemouth
37 matches
Manchester City
52 matches
| Bournemouth | Statistic | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 34 |
| 17 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 58 | Goals For | 113 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.17 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 46 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 33 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 22 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.97 | Shots On Goal | 5.85 |
| 14.03 | Total Shots | 15.92 |
| 5.59 | Corners | 6.4 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 60.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Bournemouth appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Manchester City. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Manchester City. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Manchester City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 77 points while Bournemouth sit 6 on 55, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bournemouth expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Manchester City in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Manchester City having the stronger overall control.
Bournemouth are currently 6 in the standings with 55 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 16 draws, and 7 losses, while the 56:52 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Semenyo (16 goals), Eli Junior Kroupi (12 goals), Evanilson (6 goals), with creative support from M. Senesi (5 assists), A. Semenyo (4 assists), M. Tavernier (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with L. Cook, J. Soler, R. Christie unavailable.
Manchester City approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 77 points after 36 outings. With 23 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 75:32, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Haaland (26 goals), P. Foden (7 goals), J. Doku (5 goals), with creative support from R. Cherki (12 assists), E. Haaland (8 assists), P. Foden (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 1 times, Manchester City won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:40 from Bournemouth's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.
Bournemouth
2
5
5
3
3
6
Lineups
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Fulham
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
Leeds
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Burnley
Bournemouth
Brentford
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Bournemouth
West Ham
Bournemouth
Everton
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Wolves
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Brighton
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Brentford
Manchester City
Everton
Manchester City
Southampton
Manchester City
Burnley
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
Liverpool
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Manchester City
West Ham
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Leeds
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City
Salford City
Manchester City
Fulham
Manchester City
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
Leeds
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Brentford
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Bournemouth
Burnley
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Everton
Bournemouth
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Fulham
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Brighton
Bournemouth
Wolves
Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
Everton
Manchester City
Burnley
Manchester City
Chelsea
Manchester City
West Ham
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City
Leeds
Manchester City
Liverpool
Manchester City
Tottenham
Manchester City
Bodo/Glimt
Manchester City
Manchester United
Manchester City
Sunderland
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Fulham
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Villarreal
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Manchester City
Away
|
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bournemouth
Home
|
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|