Bournemouth
Match Timeline
Brighton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bournemouth Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth1.33
Brighton1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bournemouth
WWDLW
4 GF / 4 GA
Brighton
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
4.33
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bournemouth
3 matches
Brighton
3 matches
| Bournemouth | Statistic | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 4 | Goals For | 3 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 14.67 | Total Shots | 11.67 |
| 7.67 | Corners | 3 |
| 45.7% | Ball Possession | 48.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 6 times, Brighton won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Bournemouth's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bournemouth 4-2-3-1 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bournemouth wins 6, draws 2, Brighton wins 7
Stats
Bournemouth
Brighton
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
2
2
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
Bournemouth
Formation
Brighton
D. Petrovic
J. Hill
V. Milosavljevic
M. Senesi
A. Truffert
T. Adams
A. Scott
A. Semenyo
M. Tavernier
D. Brooks
Evanilson
B. Verbruggen
J. Veltman
J. P. van Hecke
L. Dunk
M. De Cuyper
J. Milner
J. Hinshelwood
Y. Minteh
G. Rutter
K. Mitoma
D. Welbeck
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Petrovic
G
23
J. Hill
D
↓ 87'
44
V. Milosavljevic
D
5
M. Senesi
D
🟨 36'
3
A. Truffert
D
12
T. Adams
M
🟨 45+5'
8
A. Scott
M
⚽ 18'
↓ 67'
24
A. Semenyo
M
⚽ 61'
🎯 18'
16
M. Tavernier
M
↓ 86'
7
D. Brooks
M
↓ 67'
🟨 31'
9
Evanilson
F
↓ 90+2'
Substitutes
40
W. Dennis
G
2
J. Araujo
D
20
A. Jimenez
D
↑ 87'
🟨 90+6'
4
L. Cook
M
↑ 86'
19
J. Kluivert
F
↑ 67'
21
A. Adli
F
↑ 67'
22
E. J. Kroupi
F
11
B. Doak
F
6
J. Soler
D
↑ 90+2'
Brighton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
34
J. Veltman
D
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
5
L. Dunk
D
🟨 30'
29
M. De Cuyper
D
↓ 24'
20
J. Milner
M
↓ 66'
🟨 63'
13
J. Hinshelwood
M
↓ 3'
11
Y. Minteh
M
🎯 48'
10
G. Rutter
M
↓ 67'
🟨 57'
22
K. Mitoma
M
⚽ 48'
18
D. Welbeck
F
↓ 67'
Substitutes
23
J. Steele
G
21
O. Boscagli
D
26
Y. Ayari
M
↑ 3'
42
D. Coppola
D
8
B. Gruda
M
↑ 67'
17
C. Baleba
M
↑ 66'
🟨 73'
24
F. Kadioglu
D
↑ 24'
14
T. Watson
F
9
S. Tzimas
F
↑ 67'
Last matches: Bournemouth
15.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
08.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Real Betis
2
2
D
04.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC Augsburg
5
2
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
24.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
0
0
D
10.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
2
0
W
Last matches: Brighton
15.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Bologna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
H2H: Bournemouth vs Brighton
19.01.26
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
13.09.25
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
1
W
25.02.25
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
1
L
23.11.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
2
L
28.04.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
3
0
W
24.09.23
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
3
1
L
04.04.23
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
0
2
L
04.02.23
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
0
L
21.01.20
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
3
1
W
28.12.19
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
0
L
13.04.19
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
0
5
W
05.01.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
3
L
22.12.18
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
0
W
01.01.18
H2H
Brighton
Bournemouth
2
2
D
19.09.17
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
0
W
Last matches: Bournemouth
04.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Liverpool
3
2
W
07.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Tottenham
3
2
W
03.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
1
D
06.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Chelsea
0
0
D
02.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
03.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
3
1
W
21.09.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
1
0
W
H2H at home: Bournemouth
13.09.25
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
1
W
23.11.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
2
L
28.04.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
3
0
W
04.04.23
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
0
2
L
21.01.20
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
3
1
W
05.01.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
3
L
22.12.18
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
0
W
19.09.17
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
0
W
Last matches: Brighton
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
2
4
L
05.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
1
W
24.08.25
Pre
Brighton
Everton
0
2
L
H2H away: Brighton
13.09.25
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
1
L
23.11.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
2
W
28.04.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
3
0
L
04.04.23
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
0
2
W
21.01.20
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
3
1
L
05.01.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
3
W
22.12.18
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
0
L
19.09.17
H2H
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bournemouth
Home
|
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Away
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship