ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Villa Park
Referee: M. Oliver
Aston Villa
Match Timeline
Leeds
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
A. Stach
Leeds
🔄
46'
G. Gudmundsson ↔ J. Bijol
Leeds
🔄
61'
A. Onana ↔ R. Barkley
Aston Villa
🔄
61'
L. Bailey ↔ J. Sancho
Aston Villa
🟨
62'
Jaka Bijol
Leeds
🟨
69'
Karl Darlow
Leeds
🟨
73'
Emiliano Buendía
Aston Villa
🔄
73'
B. Aaronson ↔ L. Nmecha
Leeds
🔄
75'
E. Buendia ↔ T. Abraham
Aston Villa
🟨
79'
Jayden Bogle
Leeds
🔄
83'
A. Stach ↔ S. Longstaff
Leeds
🔄
87'
Douglas Luiz ↔ L. Bogarde
Aston Villa
🔄
87'
M. Cash ↔ A. Garcia
Aston Villa
88'
T. Abraham
Aston Villa
🟨
90+2'
Ilia Gruev
Leeds

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leeds Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.57
Leeds1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WWDLW
54 GF / 37 GA
Leeds Leeds
WLDWL
40 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
19
BTTS Yes
19
19
Over 2.5
17
4.72
Shots on Goal
4.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aston Villa Aston Villa 36 matches
Leeds Leeds 28 matches
Aston Villa Statistic Leeds
23 Wins 8
5 Draws 10
8 Losses 10
54 Goals For 40
37 Goals Against 47
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
19 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 23
19 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 13
12 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 7
4.72 Shots On Goal 4.18
12.58 Total Shots 12.79
5.36 Corners 4.64
54.1% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 6 times, Leeds won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Aston Villa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Leeds 5-4-1
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 6, draws 6, Leeds wins 3
Stats
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Leeds Leeds
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 16
4 Offsides 5
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 9
10 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
520 Total passes 256
443 Passes accurate 182
1.46 expected_goals 1.35
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Aston Villa
Formation
Leeds
E. Martinez
E. Martinez
M. Cash
M. Cash
E. Konsa
E. Konsa
T. Mings
T. Mings
I. Maatsen
I. Maatsen
A. Onana
A. Onana
Douglas Luiz
Douglas Luiz
L. Bailey
L. Bailey
M. Rogers
M. Rogers
E. Buendia
E. Buendia
O. Watkins
O. Watkins
K. Darlow
K. Darlow
J. Bogle
J. Bogle
J. Justin
J. Justin
J. Rodon
J. Rodon
P. Struijk
P. Struijk
G. Gudmundsson
G. Gudmundsson
A. Stach
A. Stach
E. Ampadu
E. Ampadu
I. Gruev
I. Gruev
B. Aaronson
B. Aaronson
D. Calvert-Lewin
D. Calvert-Lewin
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
E. Martinez
G
2
M. Cash
↓ 87'
D
4
E. Konsa
D
5
T. Mings
D
22
I. Maatsen
D
24
A. Onana
↓ 61'
M
21
Douglas Luiz
↓ 87'
M
31
L. Bailey
↓ 61'
M
27
M. Rogers
M
10
E. Buendia
↓ 75' 🟨 73'
M
11
O. Watkins
F
Substitutes
64
J. Wright
G
6
R. Barkley
↑ 61'
M
3
V. Lindelof
D
14
P. Torres
D
26
L. Bogarde
↑ 87'
M
12
L. Digne
D
18
T. Abraham
⚽ 88' ↑ 75'
F
19
J. Sancho
↑ 61'
F
16
A. Garcia
↑ 87'
D
Leeds 5-4-1
Starting XI
26
K. Darlow
🟨 69'
G
2
J. Bogle
🟨 79'
D
24
J. Justin
D
6
J. Rodon
D
5
P. Struijk
D
3
G. Gudmundsson
↓ 46'
D
18
A. Stach
⚽ 31' ↓ 83'
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
44
I. Gruev
🟨 90+2'
M
11
B. Aaronson
↓ 73'
M
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
F
Substitutes
1
Lucas Perri
G
7
D. James
M
23
S. Bornauw
D
15
J. Bijol
↑ 46' 🟨 62'
D
14
L. Nmecha
↑ 73'
F
8
S. Longstaff
↑ 83'
M
10
J. Piroe
F
22
A. Tanaka
M
29
W. Gnonto
F
Last matches: Aston Villa
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
Last matches: Leeds
08.08.26
Fri
Leeds
RB Leipzig
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
3
1
W
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
08.03.26
FA
Leeds
Norwich
3
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
0
1
L
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Arsenal
0
4
L
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
H2H: Aston Villa vs Leeds
21.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
23.11.25
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
2
W
13.01.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
2
1
W
02.10.22
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
0
D
17.07.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
0
W
10.03.22
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
3
W
09.02.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
3
3
D
27.02.21
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
0
1
W
23.10.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
0
3
L
28.04.19
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
23.12.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
2
3
L
13.04.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
0
W
01.12.17
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
1
1
D
29.12.16
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
03.12.16
H2H
Leeds
Aston Villa
2
0
L
Last matches: Aston Villa
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
14.02.26
FA
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brentford
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg
3
2
W
18.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Everton
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Aston Villa
BSC Young Boys
2
1
W
H2H at home: Aston Villa
21.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
13.01.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
2
1
W
17.07.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
0
W
09.02.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
3
3
D
23.10.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
0
3
L
23.12.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
2
3
L
13.04.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
0
W
29.12.16
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
Last matches: Leeds
24.05.26
Pre
Leeds
West Ham
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pre
Leeds
Tottenham
1
1
D
26.04.26
FA
Leeds
Chelsea
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Bournemouth
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Leeds
Manchester United
2
1
W
05.04.26
FA
Leeds
West Ham
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Leeds
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
15.02.26
FA
Leeds
Birmingham
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Leeds
Chelsea
2
2
D
26.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Everton
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Leeds
Derby
3
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Newcastle
3
4
L
01.01.26
Pre
Leeds
Liverpool
0
0
D
28.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Sunderland
1
1
D
14.12.25
Pre
Leeds
Brentford
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Manchester City
2
3
L
09.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pre
Leeds
Brighton
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Leeds
Burnley
0
2
L
20.09.25
Pre
Leeds
Wolves
3
1
W
H2H away: Leeds
21.02.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
13.01.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
2
1
L
17.07.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
0
L
09.02.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
3
3
D
23.10.20
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
0
3
W
23.12.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
2
3
W
13.04.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
0
L
29.12.16
H2H
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds Away
38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship